Olympics · resolved market
Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ee5e4be5362a8ca91f2ada23e118c087cf3fc24c6f887af57083a25531b461f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94bc…8ce0backed No | 61c | 3,377$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 57c | 3,284$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.92 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 42c | 3,182$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.98 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Yes | 44c | 2,183$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 45c | 2,061$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.48 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 59c | 1,754$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 45c | 1,499$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.7 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Yes | 48c | 1,485$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 49c | 1,174$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 38c | 905.85$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.8 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…3805backed No | 62c | 860.76$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 55c | 819.66$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 44c | 799.73$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.7 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 56c | 525.72$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.16 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 58c | 413.77$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.17 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Yes | 49c | 400.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 40c | 366.54$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed Yes | 41c | 328.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 46c | 255.59$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…d092backed No | 62c | 247.16$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Yes | 44c | 225$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 46c | 213.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 57c | 185.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 53c | 182.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 48c | 181.08$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 60c | 178$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 56c | 171.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 55c | 145$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Yes | 43c | 135$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 58c | 134.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 44c | 114.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed Yes | 44c | 114.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…137cbacked Yes | 45c | 111.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…8bf8backed Yes | 63c | 99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 45c | 97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 37c | 84.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed No | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked No | 46c | 64.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed No | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b0c1backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c2…e7c7backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…538abacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc401…63b1backed Yes | 44c | 44.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 57c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…16e7backed No | 57c | 34.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…a2b6backed No | 62c | 34.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 63c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a77…b230backed Yes | 45c | 33.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 56c | 27.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…f704backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed No | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…a87fbacked No | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 47c | 21.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd6…a5e2backed No | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked No | 62c | 17.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40c…53f6backed No | 61c | 16.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Andrea Giovannini (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Antoine Gelinas-Beaulieu (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Bart Swings (BEL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Felix Maly (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Fridtjof Petzold (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Jae-Won Chung (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Jake Weidemann (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Jorrit Bergsma (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Livio Wenger (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Mathieu BelloiR (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Metodej Jilek (CZE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Stijn van de Bunt (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Timothy Loubineaud (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Viktor Hald Thorup (DEN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Yuhaochen Li (CHN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.