Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e6a99d23ee6beff337091fc92ecac6f2d8810aa899eb70b7488b72d5abbb052
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spainof Spain, Belgium
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,508,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,148,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,508,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,534 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Belgium | 26c | 1,374,064$355,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355,863.36 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Belgium | 26c | 1,349,801$348,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348,941 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Belgium | 26c | 777,760$202,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,424.68 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…7e2ebacked Belgium | 11c | 409,612$46,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,447 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Belgium | 26c | 368,815$97,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,547.94 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Spain | 74c | 336,534$249,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,767.55 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed Spain | 74c | 299,999$221,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,999.75 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Spain | 74c | 290,589$215,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,809.17 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Belgium | 26c | 265,140$69,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,599.36 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Spain | 74c | 200,306$147,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,580.29 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…24a6backed Spain | 75c | 200,000$149,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Belgium | 25c | 200,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,999.96 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Spain | 73c | 196,000$143,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,919.96 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Spain | 75c | 192,188$144,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,226.95 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spain | 76c | 190,758$144,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,014.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Spain | 75c | 175,287$131,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,829.53 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Belgium | 27c | 126,184$33,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,995.28 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Spain | 73c | 120,690$88,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,290.97 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Spain | 75c | 120,500$90,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,426.25 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Spain | 73c | 115,000$83,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,212.44 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Spain | 73c | 109,955$79,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,962.73 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Spain | 74c | 108,424$79,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,523.58 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Belgium | 27c | 100,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Spain | 75c | 100,000$74,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…21fabacked Spain | 74c | 95,758$70,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,180.75 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Belgium | 26c | 94,706$24,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,445.51 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Spain | 74c | 90,000$66,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,624.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…25efbacked Belgium | 25c | 87,129$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Belgium | 26c | 82,134$21,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,438.39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Belgium | 25c | 75,419$18,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,510.05 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Belgium | 26c | 75,000$19,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,125 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Spain | 74c | 72,000$53,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,845 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Spain | 74c | 70,000$51,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,350 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed Spain | 75c | 66,666$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,666.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Belgium | 26c | 65,115$17,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,011.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…62b5backed Belgium | 26c | 63,840$16,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,602.6 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Belgium | 26c | 62,378$15,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,974.55 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Belgium | 26c | 61,579$16,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,164.46 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Belgium | 25c | 58,786$14,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,893.22 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Spain | 74c | 58,290$42,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,309.83 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed Spain | 75c | 57,841$43,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,460.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Spain | 74c | 57,422$42,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,216.77 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Belgium | 26c | 53,802$14,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,048 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Spain | 74c | 51,147$38,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,058.06 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Belgium | 27c | 50,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Spain | 74c | 49,995$36,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,173.65 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Spain | 75c | 47,555$35,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,007.64 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…504ebacked Spain | 74c | 45,200$33,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,790 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Spain | 75c | 45,000$33,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,475 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Spain | 75c | 42,175$31,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,598.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Belgium | 26c | 40,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…8a3dbacked Belgium | 26c | 40,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Spain | 72c | 40,000$28,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.94 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Spain | 75c | 39,306$29,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,924.81 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Spain | 74c | 38,644$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,144.07 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Belgium | 28c | 38,552$10,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,794.58 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…ea88backed Spain | 74c | 38,500$28,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,042.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Spain | 73c | 36,851$26,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,903.72 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Spain | 74c | 36,500$27,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,441.25 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…d2b1backed Spain | 75c | 36,120$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,120.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…5dc4backed Spain | 75c | 34,566$25,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,771.51 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…1539backed Belgium | 25c | 34,550$8,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,723.97 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Spain | 74c | 34,176$25,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,053.59 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Spain | 73c | 33,514$24,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,902.3 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Spain | 72c | 33,033$23,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,091.02 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Belgium | 26c | 33,000$8,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,579.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Spain | 74c | 32,559$23,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,628.11 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Belgium | 26c | 32,277$8,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,230.63 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Spain | 73c | 32,000$23,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,719.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…c13fbacked Belgium | 26c | 31,870$8,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,286.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Belgium | 26c | 30,000$7,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,875 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Belgium | 26c | 30,000$7,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,674.96 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Belgium | 25c | 28,859$7,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,344.36 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Belgium | 26c | 28,705$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.69 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…23febacked Spain | 74c | 28,556$21,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,502.8 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Belgium | 26c | 28,393$7,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,382.11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Belgium | 26c | 28,000$7,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,266.15 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…d66ebacked Spain | 74c | 27,964$20,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,228.15 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Spain | 73c | 27,770$20,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,498.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…c5cbbacked Spain | 73c | 27,720$20,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,485.15 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Spain | 74c | 27,071$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,070.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Belgium | 26c | 27,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.95 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffe…86b5backed Spain | 75c | 26,673$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,673.17 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…23a1backed Spain | 75c | 26,630$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630.08 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +84%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…7263backed Belgium | 26c | 25,602$6,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Spain | 75c | 25,000$18,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Spain | 73c | 25,000$18,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,812.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Spain | 73c | 24,658$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,657.53 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Spain | 73c | 24,291$17,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,575.85 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Spain | 74c | 23,994$17,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,122.1 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Spain | 72c | 23,554$16,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,640.63 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Spain | 74c | 23,500$17,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,010 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Belgium | 26c | 22,999$5,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,956.09 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Belgium | 18c | 22,030$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.88 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Belgium | 26c | 22,000$5,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,676.2 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…c8ddbacked Spain | 75c | 21,477$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,476.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Belgium | 29c | 21,051$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,104.69 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…2523backed Belgium | 3c | 20,619$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.56 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Belgium | 24c | 20,287$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,868.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Spain | 74c | 20,188$14,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,248.88 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancethis page
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.