TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Belgium (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spainof Belgium, Spain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,567 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed Belgium1c40,415$525 inLost-$525.3929740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Belgium1c18,986$269 inLost-$269.363,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Belgium1c13,479$154 inLost-$153.661,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Belgium1c10,000$140 inLost-$14038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed Belgium2c9,504$158 inLost-$158.1515229.6%45 W · 107 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Belgium1c8,271$52 inLost-$52.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Belgium1c8,250$115 inLost-$115.521333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Belgium1c6,735$93 inLost-$93.222,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Belgium1c5,970$83 inLost-$83.388,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c96…959fbacked Belgium1c5,227$32 inLost-$326114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Belgium1c4,939$70 inLost-$69.6921044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Belgium1c4,041$54 inLost-$54.1472722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb116…7baebacked Belgium1c4,000$55 inLost-$54.712927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Belgium1c3,849$54 inLost-$53.885223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Belgium1c3,571$50 inLost-$507341.1%30 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…b180backed Belgium1c3,510$18 inLost-$17.556929%20 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Belgium1c3,413$20 inLost-$19.891,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Belgium1c3,348$46 inLost-$46.4633245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b49…1762backed Belgium2c3,333$50 inLost-$507220.8%15 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Belgium1c3,025$45 inLost-$44.5784738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Belgium1c3,007$42 inLost-$42.0336543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Belgium1c2,600$26 inLost-$2637223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Belgium1c2,515$35 inLost-$34.847444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…849bbacked Belgium1c2,329$35 inLost-$34.934626.1%12 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Belgium1c1,950$26 inLost-$25.9497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Belgium2c1,580$24 inLost-$23.723236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Belgium1c1,429$20 inLost-$2019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Belgium1c856.42$11 inLost-$11.283,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.