Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba5c09d244f2c52ca23d12741d5b149a8b433afbc1199418f814605aa4eb7b3f

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $488,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $531,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,255 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Over	7c	72,148$4,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,689.63	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	7c	29,620$2,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,048.14	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over	7c	13,377$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.78	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	7c	11,287$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.1	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over	9c	10,000$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa45a…4fdebacked Over	4c	7,795$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	17cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6796…2617backed Over	6c	5,999$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.96	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over	6c	5,611$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.52	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	6c	5,507$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.91	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	9c	5,443$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.11	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	6c	5,065$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.05	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249e…dca1backed Over	7c	4,597$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over	9c	4,401$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.04	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	1c	3,900$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.73	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	7c	3,573$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.99	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over	6c	3,529$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.69	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	6c	3,509$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.56	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	5c	2,850$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.51	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	9c	2,623$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.49	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over	1c	2,320$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	5c	2,272$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.44	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over	6c	2,144$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.57	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	5c	1,963$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.09	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	6c	1,824$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.55	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Over	7c	1,600$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-82.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Over	7c	1,481$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over	7c	1,481$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over	7c	1,448$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.12	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over	7c	1,429$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.06	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cb…e963backed Over	4c	1,335$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	94	14.9%14 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over	9c	1,203$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.77	98	21.4%21 W · 77 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over	2c	1,200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.07	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Over	2c	1,200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ebf…ff4abacked Over	7c	1,179$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.58	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Over	6c	1,121$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.26	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	6c	1,043$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.48	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3631…4964backed Over	6c	1,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over	7c	999.99$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	86	17.4%15 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Over	6c	816.29$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.98	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+112.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Over	7c	740.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	6c	600$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over	5c	592.78$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	186	28.5%53 W · 133 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over	6c	587.04$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.25	216	30.1%65 W · 151 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over	4c	564.2$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	6c	521.74$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Over	4c	499.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	87	13.8%12 W · 75 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over	7c	499.96$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over	7c	447.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.22	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	6c	444$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	8c	403.65$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.71	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over	5c	395.46$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over	6c	338.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	7c	297.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.08	384	37%142 W · 242 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x655a…8fadbacked Over	7c	296.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	107	15%16 W · 91 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over	7c	282.07$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	204	27%55 W · 149 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	328	37.2%122 W · 206 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	7c	250$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.11	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	6c	246.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.28	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503b…50d5backed Over	7c	237.04$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	11c	232.28$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.97	285	45.3%129 W · 156 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e3…3efdbacked Over	6c	230.77$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	22%9 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Over	6c	210$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	98	30.6%30 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88c6…09a2backed Over	7c	207.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	30cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	7c	182.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5this page
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event