TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No75c21,842$16,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,567.7434249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f6…8993backed Yes25c19,439$4,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,916.732020%4 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No49c5,409$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,748.932,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes32c4,574$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.69238%35 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes12c3,962$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.572,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No69c3,760$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.4331945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c2,921$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.028,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Yes39c2,001$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.3817241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes26c1,954$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c1,923$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.752,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No35c1,912$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.2764850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa37d…0c67backed Yes66c1,863$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.752222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No75c1,800$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.4518843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b16…9281backed Yes52c1,423$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.28911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-81.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes8c1,340$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.871,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…284fbacked Yes21c1,205$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.063420.6%7 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed No76c1,020$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.819062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No75c1,002$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.577445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb89d…49bcbacked No65c999.97$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.463372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbce2…0ab4backed Yes51c988.21$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.621346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes28c952.2$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.063016.7%5 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-62.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No57c862.71$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.3721630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…1c11backed Yes28c845.4$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406637.9%25 W · 41 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec9…f819backed Yes65c766.16$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ebc…6bfdbacked Yes66c761$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011357.5%65 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1acc…8d96backed Yes67c741.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Yes26c719.23$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18712154.5%66 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked No74c680.74$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.763650%18 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b6…6232backed Yes25c674.92$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.73825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c666$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.872,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No75c665.13$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.272,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x877e…5f22backed No76c657.48$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4811335.4%40 W · 73 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes23c628$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.851,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Yes25c628$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1573525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…42a1backed No49c606.8$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.874052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ddd…3254backed No76c606.18$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.486446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…21a2backed Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No75c585$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes12c583.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.038231.7%26 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+122.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18af…f909backed Yes12c506.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.813333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes25c501.14$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba4…bc56backed Yes41c500.06$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20750%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No75c451.01$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.013,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa2b…f194backed No51c430$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.111844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd590…dd98backed Yes36c418.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c4f…47a4backed Yes45c412.4$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.893652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked No78c410$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.224540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf76a…71e6backed Yes10c401.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4119520%39 W · 156 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Yes40c400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.44242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66f4…9c4cbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009231.5%29 W · 63 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes24c399.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9935621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed No80c393.94$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.943652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No58c381.96$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7643145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2b…5fc3backed No76c380.38$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.291258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c352.4$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.13,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes24c345.22$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb545…30e2backed Yes62c339.92$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x720a…6869backed Yes28c322.21$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.244820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes35c321.33$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4958642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f1e…5443backed Yes19c313.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.211163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x63e3…f341backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008647.7%41 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6351458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a4f…22a8backed Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No35c299.98$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No79c278.94$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9435251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x196d…cc09backed Yes31c270.35$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad8…f24bbacked No76c270$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.82835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes6c260.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7225328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No65c253.93$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.392,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de3…bc56backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306311.1%7 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid+7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yes11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.56622.7%15 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes24c247.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4712810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed No72c242.08$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1823558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94cf…17e2backed Yes42c234.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c87…f752backed No41c214.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.952548%12 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3211…b46dbacked Yes47c213.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010260.8%62 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb116…7baebacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000b…6ffbbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5057252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff1b…a62dbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed No73c188$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5029558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd715…26e0backed Yes40c171.64$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf4b…5c8dbacked Yes36c168.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602913.8%4 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No59c165.75$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.912,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d7…87b0backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402015%3 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2dd…17eebacked Yes69c158.16$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.13254%1 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-87.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8038…8b15backed Yes44c156.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.822722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7098…1d97backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d0e…9e77backed Yes65c154.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a09…cdffbacked No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.856235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb0…c328backed No76c149.12$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.79977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a6…5bf8backed No39c147.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fda…b819backed Yes25c144$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked Yes69c143.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.311662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdb…3312backed Yes46c141.59$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510329.1%30 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Yes23c140$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.227939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e8…afdbbacked No77c130.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.137454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d9…7e6abacked Yes37c130.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.