TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,467 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61a8…e2f5backed Under14c19,898$2,687 inLost-$2,686.792236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under15c16,030$2,405 inLost-$2,405.1720731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Under13c10,000$1,300 inLost-$1,299.9912810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under14c5,000$700 inLost-$7001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under14c5,000$700 inLost-$699.9820724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under14c4,516$630 inLost-$629.91,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c3,000$60 inLost-$601375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under14c2,500$350 inLost-$3503,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Under2c2,000$40 inLost-$40641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under14c1,677$235 inLost-$234.743,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under13c1,310$174 inLost-$174.2697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under13c1,214$163 inLost-$163.413,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under2c1,200$24 inLost-$244,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc9a…1757backed Under15c1,000$150 inLost-$1504533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed Under2c999.98$20 inLost-$201315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-77.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc6…80a5backed Under18c839.78$151 inLost-$151.16633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under13c751.83$99 inLost-$98.83,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under14c598.84$84 inLost-$83.849752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under3c574.01$17 inLost-$17.222,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under14c499.97$70 inLost-$7095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under15c464.33$71 inLost-$71.4326841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under14c446.69$62 inLost-$61.7529813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under14c364.75$51 inLost-$51.078,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under12c350.53$41 inLost-$41.484,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d89…0faabacked Under14c300$42 inLost-$42520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under13c213.45$28 inLost-$27.7532837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under14c207.24$30 inLost-$30.042,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3f…100cbacked Under15c200$30 inLost-$305817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Under15c173$26 inLost-$25.9530344.2%134 W · 169 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Under10c150$15 inLost-$1569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under14c73$10 inLost-$10.221,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.