TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c61,518$28,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,991.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Over55c30,429$16,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,693.0620333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab1b…99e1backed Over45c12,128$5,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,638.291855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c5,789$2,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.598,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under44c4,880$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,14777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over57c4,750$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.536247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.9711343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over78c3,844$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.2410927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c3,699$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.092,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over55c3,364$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.5918738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c3,203$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.6350850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5d…f4a2backed Over79c3,184$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over55c3,162$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.282,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bb…e21abacked Under44c3,041$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe482…638bbacked Over56c2,945$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c2,073$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.734,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over46c2,012$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.037639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…44bbbacked Under12c1,929$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.631428.6%4 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+117.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c1,854$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.962,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over55c1,170$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked Under15c1,000$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526235.5%22 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+119.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under15c936.48$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1110420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…896cbacked Under14c900$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126258%2 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over52c766.99$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.9921630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under44c752.63$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.1646546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over56c709.76$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.833,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under51c517.48$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4433438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21514745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Over56c463.89$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.115651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under46c443.92$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.831,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over56c396.45$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.353,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over77c383.2$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.120186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Over56c360$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.29351.6%48 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under46c339.36$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.631,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4e…8413backed Over56c326.14$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.52568%17 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdfc9…67c8backed Over57c319.38$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under52c306.12$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4726841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4423…47fdbacked Over56c278.55$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5612244.3%54 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under45c275$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over55c272.72$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7267447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc7…f23cbacked Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.862540%10 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.514655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2001…35dbbacked Over56c232$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…4c25backed Under45c226$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over55c218$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.118448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008661.6%53 W · 33 L+13.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906860.3%41 W · 27 L+11.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+39.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over55c198.09$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Under43c195.05$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.879552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under45c187.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.265253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Over56c187.01$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.284641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44da…c794backed Over55c179.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.91747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over53c179.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2516544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.577953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f7…ae5fbacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.449751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under42c173.55$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over58c173.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0916160.9%98 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Under58c172.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.785646.4%26 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under15c160$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Under30c134.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over56c124.43$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7510562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f5f…b8efbacked Over56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.88355.4%46 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over55c110.79$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.891,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Under45c109.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.273626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Over56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1411560%69 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4431156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5550450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over55c99.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.993554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over52c99.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9926344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Over56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.63171%22 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2915645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaae0…3616backed Over56c87.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.655044%22 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e55…a3fbbacked Under45c86.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3938933.2%129 W · 260 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d77…9b9dbacked Over56c85.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under45c85.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2623449.1%115 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a5…c5dcbacked Under45c71.36$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32eb…f531backed Over56c69.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.612171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under45c68.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.781,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Under45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c65.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.21,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Over54c64.96$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8812056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda4d…99d8backed Under46c64.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Over55c61.35$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.611145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9137…971cbacked Over56c58.8$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.87933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f3c…c98cbacked Over58c57.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.194663%29 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdca4…806fbacked Under45c51.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.044151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over52c50.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3621858.7%128 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa089…02a1backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256643.9%29 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over55c49.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b43…fa54backed Over50c49.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.731346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9057…02dabacked Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.318921.7%41 W · 148 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6412852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Over56c44.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3430148.2%145 W · 156 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Under45c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.833059.1%195 W · 135 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under45c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under37c36.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.543412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.713775.7%28 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under44c35.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.732158.3%187 W · 134 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.