TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$856,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$960,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $856,747 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under6c103,721$6,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,616.8813234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under6c83,929$5,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,450.3330626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under8c41,310$3,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150.762,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under6c36,822$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.6533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under6c22,504$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under7c15,777$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.753,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under7c15,000$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.56016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Under7c11,396$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.7424028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under7c9,013$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.237223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under6c8,869$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.334,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b49…1762backed Under7c7,551$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007220.8%15 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Under6c6,668$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.59840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Under7c6,668$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under7c6,369$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9414325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under6c6,154$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under7c5,299$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Under6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Under6c4,438$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.561226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under7c4,310$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4130220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,125$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2521314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under7c4,034$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.112,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under7c3,707$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.32,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4df…54dbbacked Under7c3,080$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.27835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under7c3,022$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.412,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Under7c3,000$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19518027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under7c2,997$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.819037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5072…17bebacked Under7c2,963$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011747%55 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under7c2,888$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under7c2,737$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.543,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Under7c2,330$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4522746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12056151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under1c1,977$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.779910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under6c1,600$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under7c1,589$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.214,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf83…da82backed Under6c1,538$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010241.2%42 W · 60 L+12.7wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Under6c1,538$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13b…5f1abacked Under6c1,538$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7630…cfb0backed Under7c1,481$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcebc…833bbacked Under1c1,322$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.750%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under8c1,277$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.911,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under1c1,242$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9318628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Under6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Under7c1,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6516927.8%47 W · 122 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under7c999.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.548140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f83…6cd9backed Under6c999.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604450%22 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb315…d6c9backed Under10c945.93$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935446.3%25 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under6c934$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2930137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under7c812.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under7c800$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.929450%147 W · 147 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Under6c800$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c0…32edbacked Under7c800$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5544…fe9ebacked Under7c800$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under4c799.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.571939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under7c744.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5915929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under7c740.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under7c714.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.439323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Under7c678.37$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7919746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b63…03d6backed Under8c611.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.63911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x670d…3f3fbacked Under6c606.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.912218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under6c595$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.71,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under7c592.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010224.5%25 W · 77 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe573…0a38backed Under9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ee…7e3abacked Under6c553.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd23…cad2backed Under7c518.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.97850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0d…bc8dbacked Under7c503.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7b…bd59backed Under8c500$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5622147.1%104 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under6c500$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6397742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked Under6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027765.3%181 W · 96 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5599…8831backed Under9c477.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Under7c444.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010911%12 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0841…5cb7backed Under7c444.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under6c437.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.331,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8f…2c14backed Under7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3276…4be4backed Under7c414.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810217.6%18 W · 84 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Under7c408.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5816725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Under7c400$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Under7c400$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c39…a0bbbacked Under6c400$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under7c395.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7156022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a48…0edbbacked Under6c384.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256830.9%21 W · 47 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d7a…725cbacked Under7c382.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.221258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a3…6599backed Under7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511751.3%60 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b12…7a89backed Under6c352$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22368.3%3 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-2.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f20…3a2abacked Under9c344.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315764.9%37 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under7c318.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.712,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under6c315.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.521240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751f…4a2cbacked Under6c307.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019144.5%85 W · 106 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Under6c307.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010347.6%49 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under6c305$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Under6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.751936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd2…87c9backed Under6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x685c…b626backed Under7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57815.4%12 W · 66 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f43…e4aebacked Under7c296.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208118.5%15 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ca1…2f58backed Under6c262.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.395433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under6c218$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0832837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under5c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under7c188.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2758926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Under6c176.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.54841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e80…6c17backed Under6c169.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.