TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$530,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$586,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5dab…22e1backed Under22c68,581$14,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,916.371533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over78c33,446$26,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,310.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under1c30,000$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3615929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under4c23,744$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.6924533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under13c22,735$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.6830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under22c22,221$4,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,871.7633538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under17c10,105$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.5714325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Over78c8,987$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.737225%18 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over78c8,611$6,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.732,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over78c7,500$5,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.2521140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over78c6,704$5,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.918,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under10c5,964$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.3244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Under11c5,850$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.510251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over78c5,458$4,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.822,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under8c5,020$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under22c5,000$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.4947144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Under22c5,000$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.4812534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under22c4,976$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.1548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Under22c4,382$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.1713623.5%32 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over76c4,323$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.3469826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under17c4,270$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.892,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over78c4,067$3,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.633235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under21c4,000$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8559150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under22c4,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.9947643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over78c3,859$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.528672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over78c3,831$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.2951032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under11c3,782$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.921,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under22c3,600$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80144144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over78c3,380$2,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.71,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over78c3,348$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.931,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over70c3,189$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.714178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over78c3,087$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.8210261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under2c2,965$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.659910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Under20c2,918$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9321738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under10c2,799$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.554,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under1c2,621$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.071,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over78c2,572$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.3530465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8be4…b795backed Over78c2,572$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.356633.3%22 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Over78c2,548$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.7710059%59 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under21c2,508$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.863,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over78c2,483$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.183,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x595e…4e62backed Under28c2,400$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over78c2,275$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.613,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under22c2,222$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Under22c2,222$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under22c2,222$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.7331851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under11c2,160$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.821,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over78c2,062$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.895952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under22c2,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under20c1,866$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.913,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b1…83a0backed Over72c1,828$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.651758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Under11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over78c1,726$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.72,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Over78c1,542$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.084663%29 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e4…8048backed Over78c1,300$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.2510045%45 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Under22c1,250$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8821640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under2c1,197$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9511412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked Under23c1,163$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.564837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Over78c1,030$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.181145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under3c1,020$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0218628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908b…a02abacked Under30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Under22c999.95$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9910026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under22c968.95$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Over78c964.63$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6320532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under21c963.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9419224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf329…ea10backed Under11c899.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.55429.6%16 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Under22c899.97$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.997834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf502…4382backed Under22c898.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb58b…a4e9backed Under22c888.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006451.6%33 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea16…4bd8backed Over78c865.16$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.52055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8036235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Over78c800$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17810752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb30f…9342backed Over78c767.13$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.773560%21 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffb1…e600backed Over78c764.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.33666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under9c758.19$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.782,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Under21c748.18$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.515147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13b…5f1abacked Under27c742.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over79c736.51$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5122355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under22c728.42$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.729450%147 W · 147 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Under22c674.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…9ba5backed Over78c643.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.093262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0312159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over78c636.94$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9414568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under11c629.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2321846.8%102 W · 116 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+61.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under25c578.86$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under22c531.85$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.093,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ee…7e3abacked Under21c527.35$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.382334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e24…3474backed Over78c514.47$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4714444.4%64 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over78c514.47$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4728224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1159…7c71backed Over78c504.74$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.041822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-70%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3058926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4df…54dbbacked Under22c500$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.57835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a4…3c66backed Over78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1106258.1%36 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over78c500$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8717052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over74c499.98$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7423427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7011…c6dabacked Over78c477$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.134949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under22c475$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6940239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under22c449.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010224.5%25 W · 77 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf83…da82backed Under22c444.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010241.2%42 W · 60 L+12.7wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.