TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67ac…edf1backed Under63c31,962$19,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,965.3517642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c24,984$6,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,556.414,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over40c10,500$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9917852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over28c6,233$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.52,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under75c6,000$4,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over15c5,048$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.1659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Over20c4,904$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.471315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over25c4,110$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.559428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over27c4,102$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under60c4,028$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.6530626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under66c3,458$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.044,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Under75c3,272$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.022965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under75c2,647$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.193,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under76c2,629$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.743,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under75c2,621$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.163,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over29c2,586$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.841,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebc…6bfdbacked Under79c2,530$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.5311357.5%65 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under75c2,475$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.062,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over33c2,396$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.462,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c2,245$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.312,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under76c2,135$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.082,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93df…7306backed Under69c2,106$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.446863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82017636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Under76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over27c1,830$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.17639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Over25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c7…75eebacked Over24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over28c1,328$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.988530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over25c1,160$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over25c1,139$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.692,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe020…ff13backed Under75c1,067$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.864667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Under75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Over19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504427.3%12 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+119.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe14…c27dbacked Under76c953.95$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.952777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over25c920$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23029636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under60c900$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3609752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4655…b1bcbacked Under61c823.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.594339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under75c780.01$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over34c735.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5c…46c3backed Under72c696.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.289348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Under60c566.27$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.519643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under75c540$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13519062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over15c506.32$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.671,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15554917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12528945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…1986backed Over33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a1…f99ebacked Over25c484.12$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.03238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-76.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Over26c480.77$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12511020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under72c477.74$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.793,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cba…351cbacked Under76c453.67$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.884971.4%35 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over30c448.24$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.181,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Over24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.818028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over36c419.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3396…2448backed Under74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1047746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde0e…e5bcbacked Under76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over34c383.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3341331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Over20c380.56$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1119944.7%89 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under75c379.93$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.981,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under76c374$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7667354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under73c335.31$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.531,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0d9…1187backed Under63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.469962.6%62 W · 37 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under76c314$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3627744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Over24c304.17$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Over24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7214238.7%55 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b2…bed6backed Under76c297.3$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.34669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over25c296.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.174250%21 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under68c288.56$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.171,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over25c280$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.772,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Under80c269.8$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3177433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.165666.1%37 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under77c259.72$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7326841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd252…4058backed Under76c253$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.726767.2%45 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf83a…e7febacked Under76c252.03$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.497468.9%51 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Over20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504825%12 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8638…b43bbacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Under76c233$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9234751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5a3…6599backed Under65c232.57$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7511751.3%60 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over37c227.23$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6437458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over24c226.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4672722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa706…4b9ebacked Under64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0936…fb00backed Under75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Over23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468028.8%23 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2f…b499backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020340.4%82 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555e…64d4backed Under74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed Under76c195.28$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.871421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under69c192.22$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.011,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc162…40bbbacked Under75c186.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.677243.1%31 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over20c186.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2350850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over24c185.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6320724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over24c184.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.53,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.