Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfac447767d7ff5ae34462a377e7327c278a7eddf931848e23edb0a17f3d062f9

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $71,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,612 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	15c	4,069$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.6	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes	30c	3,226$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.59	191	25.1%48 W · 143 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+79.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	7c	3,182$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.69	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	71c	2,558$1,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.2	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes	12c	2,266$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.93	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked No	78c	2,222$1,736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.22	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed Yes	14c	1,786$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	167	32.3%54 W · 113 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes	14c	1,464$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes	32c	1,424$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.56	102	73.5%75 W · 27 L	+15.0wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe5d3…8d48backed Yes	20c	1,335$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.39	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes	32c	1,313$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.38	122	66.4%81 W · 41 L	+12.8wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	69c	1,269$877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.06	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf4…a5c8backed Yes	16c	1,228$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	142	42.3%60 W · 82 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb79…e05cbacked Yes	19c	936.98$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.57	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x142e…be1ebacked Yes	13c	897.69$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.7	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	77c	790.3$609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.3	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad8…f24bbacked Yes	14c	720$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b20…b887backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed Yes	37c	703.3$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+4.3wins	+0.14per pick	35cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x90e0…21a2backed Yes	15c	668$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	187	42.8%80 W · 107 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c3…ef9fbacked Yes	15c	630.2$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.61	77	35.1%27 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	5c	605.8$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.97	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Yes	15c	597.93$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.69	87	23%20 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	16c	584.52$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.46	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	16c	580.76$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.74	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2834…3cefbacked Yes	15c	567.69$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes	13c	542$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.88	242	33.5%81 W · 161 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8227…2432backed Yes	19c	520.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	171	45.6%78 W · 93 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe48…2ac2backed Yes	15c	457.97$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.7	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes	14c	446.76$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.59	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes	7c	446.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	206	26.2%54 W · 152 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94cf…17e2backed Yes	23c	417.32$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.75	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa2…3b2abacked Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d67…9671backed Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18af…f909backed Yes	10c	355.1$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.41	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd742…79e4backed Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x192e…ed4abacked Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	47	6.4%3 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-62%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes	8c	306.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.55	508	50%254 W · 254 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51df…8605backed Yes	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	7c	300.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.27	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeec3…c3d2backed Yes	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Yes	15c	299.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…df66backed Yes	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	110	29.1%32 W · 78 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	18c	288.65$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.68	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	20c	263.7$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.37	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd590…dd98backed Yes	25c	239.27$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b36…d80cbacked Yes	15c	233.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8925…7bc4backed Yes	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff1b…a62dbacked Yes	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d86…9241backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d7…87b0backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf4b…5c8dbacked Yes	19c	213.74$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdb…3312backed Yes	25c	202.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	103	29.1%30 W · 73 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2425…3dd1backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	108	13%14 W · 94 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54af…a9efbacked Yes	14c	199.95$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.99	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6c96…959fbacked Yes	11c	197.75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.62	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x165d…121cbacked Yes	14c	178.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-39%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa32…9705backed Yes	15c	175.67$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	49	10.2%5 W · 44 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Yes	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes	16c	163$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.08	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes	31c	161.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	14c	161.03$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606e…ce83backed Yes	26c	160$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…f51abacked Yes	19c	156.93$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.37	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf711…eac5backed Yes	32c	154.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86f9…111ebacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce9…a32dbacked Yes	15c	152.53$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.88	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82b8…e168backed Yes	10c	147.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Yes	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7c…f44dbacked Yes	14c	138.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	138	27.5%38 W · 100 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2f…2aaebacked Yes	18c	136.09$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1acc…8d96backed Yes	15c	134.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019a…264dbacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	35%42 W · 78 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes	23c	131.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.05	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x334e…26d8backed Yes	19c	131.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed No	70c	130$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	96	64.6%62 W · 34 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b5e…69abbacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+34%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb5c…61e3backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…eababacked Yes	19c	124.63$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes	20c	123.35$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.43	253	28.1%71 W · 182 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f93…757abacked Yes	27c	118.67$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.04	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c05…fabfbacked No	73c	116.51$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.46	70	78.6%55 W · 15 L	+8.6wins	+0.12per pick	66cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	175	27.4%48 W · 127 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8662…0731backed Yes	26c	114.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c5d…0cd6backed Yes	14c	109.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes	12c	109.46$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.62	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	75c	107.38$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.55	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x449f…c970backed Yes	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2731…1370backed Yes	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	122	26.2%32 W · 90 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e7…d258backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	83	30.1%25 W · 58 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d07…c1c2backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea77…4edabacked Yes	15c	101.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51a7…261abacked Yes	20c	100.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d53…e7aabacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	83	26.5%22 W · 61 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	174	16.1%28 W · 146 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e68…682abacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	103	46.6%48 W · 55 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-5.5wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?this page
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event