TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c96…959f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Cricket, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+288.6%+$52.73
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+243.5%+$63.8
Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Spain to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.34
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$45.52
Argentina to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$3.25
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.53
France vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.59
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$24.62
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$22.05
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.41
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-58.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Milsami Orhei vs. FK Velež Mostar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.