Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x358bca79910719a38752c415d66b08ef7d96b6d4376e7d6769de6ecc54c5609d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f61…e259backed No | 49c | 3,354$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 60c | 3,278$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.52 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Yes | 47c | 2,873$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.92 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 2,022$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.46 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 45c | 1,330$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.29 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 50c | 1,288$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.42 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb36…d19cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,234$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 1,219$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 38c | 1,097$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.14 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 40c | 1,047$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.16 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 62c | 980.28$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.93 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 62c | 899.83$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.28 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 38c | 804.52$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.8 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 39c | 606$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.66 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b0fdbacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…c697backed Yes | 37c | 496.48$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.78 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 54c | 330.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…3cd6backed Yes | 39c | 262.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c96…959fbacked No | 15c | 195$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 63c | 165.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 142.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 61c | 139.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…845ebacked Yes | 63c | 128.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Yes | 65c | 125.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2f…2aaebacked Yes | 42c | 95.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 38c | 83.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 61c | 73.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 69.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…c264backed Yes | 41c | 65.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 62c | 63.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 50c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 50c | 57.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…9a8dbacked Yes | 54c | 54.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 62c | 53.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8125…76eebacked Yes | 42c | 50.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 62c | 50.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…1874backed Yes | 39c | 49.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 59c | 49.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 63c | 47.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d2…2547backed Yes | 33c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 61c | 46.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 39c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed No | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 403 | 52.1%210 W · 193 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 61c | 40.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 61c | 36.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 38c | 34.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed No | 48c | 34.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 62c | 33.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 63c | 32.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cec…6ab0backed Yes | 37c | 30.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 62c | 30.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 35c | 29.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 67c | 28.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 38c | 27.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc083…ef25backed Yes | 39c | 27.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…b788backed No | 62c | 25.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…aa35backed No | 62c | 25.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed No | 62c | 21.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…a862backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…bb13backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe027…ce6cbacked No | 63c | 20.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e3…71cfbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…745cbacked No | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 214 | 33.2%71 W · 143 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw?this page
- Argentina to win the second half?No won
- Spain to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.