Fifa International · resolved market
Spain to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7706b2e3034b1117e03f6128aba8dfd5dd66d90380dfb4bc5856ff0fd649b3a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 36c | 4,843$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.48 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 4,688$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…ec35backed No | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 43c | 3,332$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.67 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 2,173$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.16 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 64c | 1,773$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.19 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 64c | 1,488$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.84 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 59c | 1,430$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.2 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed No | 67c | 1,385$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.56 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…5047backed Yes | 37c | 1,332$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.03 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 64c | 999.98$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 2c | 873.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006e…7c46backed Yes | 27c | 829.14$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 62c | 659.01$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.66 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 31c | 643.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5290…2b6abacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad4…4da0backed Yes | 41c | 488.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 450.79$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…1e05backed Yes | 48c | 417.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 403$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…dc8cbacked Yes | 26c | 391.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 64c | 390$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 59c | 291.42$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c6…ad4bbacked No | 68c | 291$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 253.2$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…930bbacked Yes | 41c | 234.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 64c | 214.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad6…8b65backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 64c | 178.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 69c | 163.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 33c | 151.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 64c | 147.15$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 64c | 145$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 142.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…c9cbbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 63c | 126.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 37c | 113.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…488abacked Yes | 39c | 98.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 64c | 96.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c96…959fbacked Yes | 15c | 92.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed No | 64c | 84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…7239backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 64c | 80.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…5f54backed Yes | 37c | 71.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 69.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 38c | 68.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 40c | 63.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 64c | 57.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21d…54e9backed Yes | 36c | 54.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…a418backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed No | 78c | 49.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…8e7abacked Yes | 36c | 49.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 64c | 46.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed No | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 42.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 64c | 41.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 64c | 39.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 64c | 38.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…8a28backed Yes | 43c | 37.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 64c | 33.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Yes | 38c | 30.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 50c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed No | 63c | 28.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 64c | 22.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…6ecebacked No | 64c | 22.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…3d34backed No | 64c | 21.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…a862backed No | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf11…be82backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…bb13backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5abc…ec69backed No | 65c | 20.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 64c | 20.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8534…34d2backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain to win the second half?this page
- Argentina to win the second half?No won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.