Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x193e33849333d3967321947d16045b3352e37a06606e091e21dd6e1ffcf6c289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 28c | 50,000$14,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,085.91 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 72c | 30,400$22,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,393.68 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 26c | 8,481$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.47 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 7,057$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.94 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 71c | 6,457$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.9 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 5,855$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…fe99backed Yes | 29c | 5,172$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…518cbacked No | 73c | 3,899$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.12 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 28c | 3,541$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.48 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…88f0backed No | 72c | 2,962$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.35 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f6…23babacked Yes | 19c | 2,572$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…f40bbacked No | 71c | 2,486$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.82 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 73c | 2,055$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.55 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…ec35backed No | 78c | 1,954$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 72c | 1,875$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.73 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed No | 73c | 1,750$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,740$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 5c | 1,567$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 72c | 1,170$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.44 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 1,013$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.23 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 71c | 999.98$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked No | 72c | 912.48$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked No | 71c | 807.19$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.95 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d2…c66bbacked Yes | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 72c | 800.37$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.43 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…bb98backed Yes | 22c | 678.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b0…4dffbacked No | 73c | 669$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 73c | 641$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.89 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 24c | 500.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…42c4backed Yes | 29c | 494.72$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…bb37backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 28c | 423$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 80c | 416$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57b…c8f3backed Yes | 29c | 379.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 70c | 378$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 71c | 370.8$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec58…6412backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…9e5cbacked Yes | 27c | 364.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a75…f600backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 352$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 71c | 346.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.19 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…a51fbacked Yes | 22c | 340.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 71c | 300.59$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…ede5backed Yes | 8c | 284.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 263.79$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 21c | 252.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…3781backed Yes | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -6.7wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 80c | 198.25$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 73c | 196.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…91efbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…6cffbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…7c65backed No | 72c | 172.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e60…0bd5backed Yes | 28c | 170.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc404…bb69backed Yes | 29c | 168.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 73c | 160.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffc…2724backed Yes | 28c | 157.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…9c18backed No | 73c | 147.95$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed No | 79c | 145.48$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 142.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 142.65$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 133.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 73c | 126.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…9faebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…5f54backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…89cebacked Yes | 10c | 115.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…6473backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…488abacked Yes | 24c | 108.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 28c | 105.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…3dd1backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 13%14 W · 94 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…78b7backed Yes | 22c | 86.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 72c | 85.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 72c | 80.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…53f6backed Yes | 23c | 78.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…6c78backed Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 69.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…64fbbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 27c | 68.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…4dd8backed Yes | 29c | 65.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…c4e3backed Yes | 28c | 65.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…ae85backed No | 73c | 63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 28c | 61.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 71c | 60.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…8581backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 71c | 50.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 70c | 47.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 71c | 42.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…e4a0backed No | 72c | 42.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina to win the second half?this page
- Spain to win the second half?No won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.