TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,318,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,231,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,318,412 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,078 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f9c…34d9backed Yes60c84,137$50,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,465.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x118f…bc88backed No42c64,853$27,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,048.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed No41c59,057$24,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,402.077437.8%28 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes57c57,363$32,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,506.453941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e9…4e93backed No42c46,257$19,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,428.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x619d…8753backed No41c44,353$18,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,184.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e3…c7f2backed Yes59c37,921$22,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,617.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f5…c07ebacked Yes61c33,072$20,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,008.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No41c25,766$10,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,523.2913829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes60c24,272$14,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,708.722544%11 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…0790backed Yes59c20,779$12,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,520.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde51…428bbacked Yes60c16,549$9,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,619.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…2032backed Yes61c16,390$9,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,392.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a1…358dbacked No38c13,373$5,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,081.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes30c11,963$3,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,329.7719652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1168…c1dbbacked Yes58c10,344$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,344.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c41…8d1dbacked Yes59c10,255$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,255.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5b…eb13backed Yes59c10,167$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,168.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x690c…2af9backed Yes31c10,157$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,056.78425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e8…a7bdbacked Yes61c10,045$6,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,917.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578c…9661backed Yes36c10,002$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,402.14742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5975…6820backed Yes12c9,826$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,634.17955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+59.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eeb…a31ebacked Yes61c9,672$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,772.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f63…1ecdbacked Yes61c9,672$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,772.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Yes33c9,312$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,200.58837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed Yes60c9,182$5,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,682.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…3314backed Yes60c9,167$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes12c8,989$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,920.26660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked No41c8,485$3,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,478.8250%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd00c…8637backed No41c8,114$3,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,338.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes59c8,103$4,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,314.048742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked No40c8,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.98922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-53.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0827…37febacked No41c7,424$3,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,019.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6f…30cabacked Yes59c7,140$4,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe82…8219backed Yes59c7,119$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2284…ac52backed Yes59c6,778$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9190…7f4cbacked Yes61c6,451$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6a…7769backed Yes61c6,451$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd40…93ddbacked Yes61c6,451$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7be…c2ebbacked Yes58c6,391$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.06944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd0…d211backed No26c6,355$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a66…9051backed Yes41c6,294$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,740.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd974…e968backed Yes20c6,000$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,809.79425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8352…d51abacked Yes34c5,715$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14b…b944backed No43c5,587$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.532437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Yes18c5,556$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.56425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46c1…afcabacked Yes59c5,500$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2301100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaed…3339backed Yes59c5,055$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe39b…acefbacked Yes15c5,022$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,284.76728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Yes10c5,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5003023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.9922744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb508…cbb8backed Yes62c4,952$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef1…2a13backed Yes62c4,952$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6d…6967backed Yes60c4,875$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc20f…a7ecbacked Yes63c4,873$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3994…88afbacked Yes63c4,873$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes10c4,862$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,375.441225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1d…98cdbacked No39c4,735$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed No41c4,723$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.62429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No40c4,702$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.6412055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7012…14a4backed Yes71c4,566$3,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.511546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f6d…f52abacked Yes34c4,448$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+139.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8837…606bbacked No42c4,124$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc6…8065backed No40c4,100$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba9…4c55backed No40c4,100$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d76…a206backed No40c4,100$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3b…d79ebacked No40c4,100$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x284f…7903backed No40c4,100$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2605…23debacked Yes59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7bd…7e42backed No40c3,975$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes10c3,918$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,526.49633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+168.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes59c3,915$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.381136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda9…7b66backed Yes61c3,869$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e8…646dbacked Yes61c3,864$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe850…8d59backed No40c3,863$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e8…3d7fbacked No40c3,863$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf687…e95ebacked No40c3,863$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e9…19afbacked No40c3,863$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa540…153bbacked Yes62c3,806$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5d…eb9ebacked Yes63c3,769$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x456b…eb7ebacked Yes62c3,400$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed Yes59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25de…6196backed Yes60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa464…91f8backed Yes60c3,332$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6178…f9a9backed Yes59c3,132$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Yes60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a7a…06e4backed Yes60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc82…c7c5backed No38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.991650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Yes19c2,988$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.651758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca62…fbfabacked Yes62c2,908$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fc8…46e2backed No41c2,866$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf12…5fdabacked No41c2,866$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2def…51b5backed No41c2,866$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d92…c00abacked No41c2,866$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827c…f189backed No41c2,866$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cd…7165backed No41c2,866$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe441…2797backed No41c2,866$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes17c2,838$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.285923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes17c2,830$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.758734.5%30 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0723…85c5backed Yes19c2,729$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+414.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.