Premier League · resolved market
Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2872724760317eef3a1c4aa18b64ed3bf633bbdb656ec1fd34fd65b876672c5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa181…9da6backed Yes | 12c | 21,001$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 11c | 8,188$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Yes | 13c | 7,641$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 12c | 7,501$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.07 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed Yes | 12c | 5,450$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed Yes | 11c | 5,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd974…e968backed Yes | 13c | 5,349$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…be18backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 11c | 4,437$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.32 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 13c | 3,800$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.95 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…66bebacked Yes | 13c | 3,677$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 11c | 3,573$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.45 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…fc55backed Yes | 11c | 2,489$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…c024backed Yes | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Yes | 12c | 2,033$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.94 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e4…15b4backed Yes | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 12c | 1,644$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,245$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…b995backed Yes | 12c | 1,190$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…d6febacked Yes | 11c | 1,020$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…f44ebacked Yes | 8c | 954.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…5c76backed Yes | 12c | 928.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…d7c7backed Yes | 11c | 911.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5458…0456backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Yes | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…7777backed Yes | 13c | 798.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3051…f50cbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…eea9backed Yes | 13c | 716.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…7094backed Yes | 13c | 714.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c2…674bbacked Yes | 13c | 692.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 13c | 676.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…923dbacked Yes | 13c | 623.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2748…e795backed Yes | 13c | 614.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…83c1backed Yes | 9c | 605.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fe62backed Yes | 12c | 583.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c705backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…63d6backed Yes | 12c | 518.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…b350backed Yes | 12c | 458.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…8778backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…61e1backed Yes | 14c | 452.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…1935backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…eb2ebacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…c2ebbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…2759backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7adf…757bbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 12c | 410.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…ec4abacked Yes | 13c | 407.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…2b17backed Yes | 11c | 405$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b93…0163backed Yes | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…1716backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…38c0backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…33fbbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…3a2bbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…490fbacked Yes | 12c | 383.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb087…b60abacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 9c | 347.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…a21bbacked Yes | 10c | 330$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…b488backed Yes | 12c | 320$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e08…068dbacked Yes | 12c | 312.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 13c | 308.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2b…92eebacked Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…816fbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a4…cdb7backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…e137backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…a22abacked Yes | 12c | 299.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…15c9backed Yes | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ade8backed Yes | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30b…56efbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…eca4backed Yes | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…59bfbacked Yes | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6711…7d95backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Yes | 10c | 208$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…7537backed Yes | 11c | 205$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Yes | 12c | 205$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…513ebacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…07d4backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf8…6598backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…035dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…3535backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…8f5cbacked Yes | 13c | 192.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b03…34fcbacked Yes | 9c | 185.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7c…eacdbacked Yes | 11c | 183.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…0732backed Yes | 12c | 183.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…e8cfbacked Yes | 14c | 180.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…da89backed Yes | 13c | 178.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…7867backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…eb17backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097e…cbdfbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…1369backed Yes | 12c | 166$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c2…e399backed Yes | 10c | 159.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?this page
- Will Austria win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Denmark win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will England win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will France win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Italy win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Serbia win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?Yes won
- Will Switzerland win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Turkey win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will another team win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.