Premier League · resolved market
Will Belgium win the 2024 Euros?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa24fb3e86911e28542a2d60ea759535937f8dc38d8c9e8489d96010bb98f83e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe39b…acefbacked Yes | 3c | 21,940$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…d562backed Yes | 3c | 10,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…66bebacked Yes | 4c | 7,494$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes | 5c | 7,235$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…4810backed Yes | 5c | 6,924$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 3c | 6,893$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 6,677$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.13 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…b995backed Yes | 6c | 4,840$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…e7c1backed Yes | 4c | 2,978$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,533$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…3caebacked Yes | 4c | 2,507$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 3c | 2,437$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf079…5e16backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…9ec9backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 3c | 1,740$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…fc55backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609e…0996backed Yes | 6c | 1,549$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525c…375bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,403$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbf…a4bbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,395$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 5c | 1,370$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…d76bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,340$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a36…e837backed Yes | 4c | 1,333$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Yes | 6c | 1,283$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbd…3fd8backed Yes | 3c | 1,151$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a3…662dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 5c | 1,062$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea99…a46bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…dcbcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…3956backed Yes | 3c | 949.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236c…5931backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe464…4156backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…039cbacked Yes | 3c | 485.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…a89bbacked Yes | 4c | 466.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…22abbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…0045backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb151…427fbacked Yes | 4c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…285dbacked Yes | 5c | 399.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…7f5bbacked Yes | 5c | 363.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8621…b0c5backed Yes | 4c | 355.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b10…b562backed Yes | 4c | 333.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…52b9backed Yes | 4c | 333$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Yes | 4c | 320$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 5c | 312.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…7537backed Yes | 3c | 308.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…816fbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd0…4c12backed Yes | 4c | 271$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d0…f728backed Yes | 5c | 211.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…7969backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f329backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d5…5232backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…8224backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…9465backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium win the 2024 Euros?this page
- Will Austria win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Denmark win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will England win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will France win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Italy win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Serbia win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?Yes won
- Will Switzerland win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Turkey win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will another team win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.