TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$452,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$335,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,885 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b51…e165backed Yes8c50,510$4,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,277.666660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb48…9566backed Yes6c25,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc04b…1424backed Yes16c20,000$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1401216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes5c12,839$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.96825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe39b…acefbacked Yes15c11,488$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.98728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Yes16c9,100$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x690c…2af9backed Yes14c7,583$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…25ddbacked Yes17c6,358$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.56333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9f…de68backed Yes8c6,210$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x609e…0996backed Yes17c5,991$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes6c5,847$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Yes5c5,000$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.263023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9506…1cd8backed Yes13c5,000$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4421…c67ebacked Yes7c4,850$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes7c4,633$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.193941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…af51backed Yes15c4,619$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes8c4,606$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.468734.5%30 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes15c4,558$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked Yes6c4,219$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+139.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes6c4,139$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.322334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes10c3,980$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3855923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91b…0317backed Yes8c3,811$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbccb…6d3abacked Yes7c3,462$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Yes8c3,354$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Yes15c3,285$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd797…a97cbacked Yes16c3,018$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes17c3,017$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.598230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes15c2,800$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.11910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes8c2,382$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.666026.7%16 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes17c2,096$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c9…a55cbacked Yes6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3023…7398backed Yes14c2,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1a…74d1backed Yes15c2,000$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-71.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce93…0f23backed Yes14c1,900$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e4…15b4backed Yes7c1,883$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+168.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f21…b376backed Yes17c1,824$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.671450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5458…0456backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…f9c3backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf178…07acbacked Yes8c1,645$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+153.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0517…8a27backed Yes16c1,596$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8aa…d89abacked Yes24c1,547$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed Yes29c1,455$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.366248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc82…76b5backed Yes7c1,417$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.82030%6 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9043…8b7bbacked Yes18c1,411$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90db…fc55backed Yes7c1,388$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002015%3 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…fe06backed Yes7c1,329$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507b…5170backed Yes10c1,329$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef57…58efbacked Yes8c1,302$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe756…9bd0backed Yes6c1,161$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b3…3718backed Yes16c1,037$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b4d…eea9backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a58…1e6bbacked Yes14c930$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…490fbacked Yes10c923.91$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb2…619fbacked Yes11c897.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes16c840$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0817945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9c…bdccbacked Yes13c821.38$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236c…5931backed Yes5c813$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea99…a46bbacked Yes7c750$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb990…294fbacked Yes17c747.13$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes7c717.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.442722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a56…eb2ebacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f24…513ebacked Yes14c700.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.721926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cab…b256backed Yes14c694.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d81…7deabacked Yes7c689.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2748…e795backed Yes6c666.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…c2ebbacked Yes16c628.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06cb…fd30backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e91…b801backed Yes10c600$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.440%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x148f…2f09backed Yes7c594.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x818f…638bbacked Yes13c580$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick17cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb31…a22fbacked Yes16c576.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4982…ee63backed Yes14c571.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-66.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f2…b488backed Yes8c560$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.562611.5%3 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5087…4ad6backed Yes17c540.4$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c15…6c6ebacked Yes16c536.91$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ddf…7441backed Yes16c520$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…8cfabacked Yes16c507$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bdd…6a3abacked Yes20c502.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c94…816fbacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…47afbacked Yes15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf258…984fbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4269…8960backed Yes13c483.82$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes10c478.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0515328.8%44 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…515bbacked Yes6c462.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+231.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ea0…efecbacked Yes8c430.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3440%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…ad32backed Yes17c429.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-57.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes13c395$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd8…15c9backed Yes6c389.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.61717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4097…db5fbacked Yes13c386.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf8…6598backed Yes13c386.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes12c378.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14f…00ffbacked Yes16c349.88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6a…3134backed Yes14c347.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick21cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0329…8129backed Yes13c323.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.71425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-56.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac3…bf4dbacked Yes16c310.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b3…55c7backed Yes12c310.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.02520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b8…a6c2backed Yes8c304.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.08520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.