Premier League · resolved market
Will Turkey win the 2024 Euros?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27a093d75d38af99d338d0efa45b64becb1881fb1355816228076dbe9689f2fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $397,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 2c | 24,890$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.95 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 22,615$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.02 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x609e…0996backed Yes | 1c | 21,978$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 3c | 20,900$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.3 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa971…e347backed Yes | 3c | 18,085$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…7aa6backed Yes | 2c | 16,994$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 14,546$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…0ff1backed Yes | 1c | 13,933$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…77ecbacked Yes | 1c | 13,446$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 1c | 11,500$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 1c | 11,091$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.69 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…fc55backed Yes | 1c | 7,542$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…1842backed Yes | 3c | 7,033$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 2c | 6,875$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340a…1f9ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,245$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…46b7backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 4c | 4,318$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.67 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…0aebbacked Yes | 4c | 4,240$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…5962backed Yes | 3c | 4,018$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…d0e8backed Yes | 1c | 3,978$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…755abacked Yes | 2c | 2,849$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Yes | 1c | 2,635$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010e…aef7backed Yes | 3c | 2,618$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 1c | 2,516$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…e621backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…3134backed Yes | 3c | 2,197$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,028$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…b488backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c705backed Yes | 3c | 1,917$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…470fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,884$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 1c | 1,875$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…8742backed Yes | 1c | 1,824$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…74d1backed Yes | 3c | 1,779$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e2…e7d6backed Yes | 6c | 1,754$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…8e55backed Yes | 3c | 1,522$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…15c9backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…ea4bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,241$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…816fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…5b3cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,181$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,154$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,118$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 3c | 1,072$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…7a6dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,009$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Yes | 2c | 998.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…44a2backed Yes | 1c | 837.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…b256backed Yes | 4c | 757.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…f88ebacked Yes | 3c | 711.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…09bfbacked Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a9…307bbacked Yes | 2c | 552.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…513ebacked Yes | 4c | 549.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3431…f9bbbacked Yes | 3c | 499.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…a21bbacked Yes | 3c | 471.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…ecfabacked Yes | 3c | 440$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…78e6backed Yes | 2c | 425$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…0045backed Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…dacebacked Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…99abbacked Yes | 3c | 353.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…5f69backed Yes | 3c | 334$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…b100backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…2f01backed Yes | 7c | 177$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Turkey win the 2024 Euros?this page
- Will Austria win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Denmark win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will England win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will France win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Italy win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Serbia win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?Yes won
- Will Switzerland win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will another team win the 2024 Euros?No won
- Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.