TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will France win the 2024 Euros?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$468,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$404,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x861a…88d0backed Yes8c79,259$6,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,673.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaed2…8e93backed Yes19c73,767$13,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,843.22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes2c20,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf0…3b75backed Yes17c15,990$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked No80c14,552$11,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.971225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6931…8fb5backed Yes22c9,119$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes16c8,638$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.548734.5%30 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe39b…acefbacked Yes18c6,676$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.76728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes20c5,477$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.346660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e8…f15bbacked Yes17c5,322$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Yes18c4,992$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.563023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc5…38d9backed Yes25c4,964$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.953036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes26c4,231$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d56…191cbacked Yes20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes19c3,698$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.345923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…b297backed Yes23c3,037$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd00c…8637backed No73c3,021$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72a…bb38backed Yes20c2,686$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes16c2,202$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.376026.7%16 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac6e…7bcdbacked Yes21c2,143$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6a…3134backed Yes25c2,047$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.63175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick21cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No70c2,035$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.177447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1a…74d1backed Yes17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-71.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6699…4dfdbacked Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e45…4b90backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb9ca…1e7abacked Yes20c1,507$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…490fbacked Yes19c1,493$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.09616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x039a…b09dbacked Yes18c1,389$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf869…33fbbacked Yes20c1,361$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No79c1,331$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.1215328.8%44 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b73…dc7fbacked Yes16c1,269$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb671…0a37backed Yes26c1,054$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+57%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4726…936cbacked Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x261f…3965backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90db…fc55backed Yes18c1,039$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.172015%3 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…d4e8backed Yes20c1,010$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20cd…5634backed Yes20c1,010$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a56…eb2ebacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc009…4422backed Yes20c999.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad7…1390backed Yes20c999.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac90…5d06backed Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c5…99eabacked Yes20c949.8$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes21c938.42$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0744939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf9…25a3backed Yes20c900.3$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f9c…8c18backed Yes16c882.91$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.27128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b4d…eea9backed Yes21c761.9$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1eb…dabbbacked Yes17c749.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe45f…5029backed Yes21c697.38$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe2…87c5backed Yes18c676$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6850%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f12…a825backed Yes23c649.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…7c1dbacked Yes26c615.58$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4135…f27cbacked Yes20c610$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96f…0127backed Yes20c577.45$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0517…8a27backed Yes17c572.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…16a0backed Yes21c571.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a41…68fcbacked Yes19c567.7$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c12…312cbacked Yes20c555$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…1b11backed Yes20c545.64$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes20c540.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.833528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f24…513ebacked Yes33c534.82$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.251926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5458…0456backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7b…f1bfbacked Yes20c525$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4104…c5f6backed Yes17c521.97$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x289a…1909backed Yes20c510.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-49%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x92c2…674bbacked Yes22c502.16$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae05…93cebacked Yes20c501.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f1…7d00backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4470…7351backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003836.8%14 W · 24 L-8.3wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-43.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdfc7…7ca8backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7423…8e0abacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4425…919ebacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f3…42adbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x508d…bbaebacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb1…466ebacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a9…307bbacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9b…40dcbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…eda7backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed76…1d37backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No80c481.9$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x947e…4cedbacked Yes17c480$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5024…0e5cbacked Yes19c479.26$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b77…b6c2backed Yes20c442.31$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d6…6ee1backed Yes20c440.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…ad32backed Yes20c425.93$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-57.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc39d…4891backed Yes15c417.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.43425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…1458backed Yes26c411.38$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf98…2759backed Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0fe…ad41backed Yes19c400$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No80c400$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8211846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca5e…8457backed Yes21c373.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b76…785cbacked Yes28c360.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9618…12d1backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…af2ebacked Yes14c357$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c94…816fbacked Yes18c350$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…ade8backed Yes19c350$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…01ffbacked Yes20c350$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d4…b04dbacked Yes26c346.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bf…2f83backed Yes19c341.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd246…1c41backed Yes18c330$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.440%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.