TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5677…1458

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT14449.3%71 W · 73 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.58
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+89%+$12.47
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$8.33
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$9.73
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.11
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.05
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.48
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.49
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Reds vs. Brewersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$29.32
Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$15.33
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Orioles vs. White Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Tigers vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$27.06
Astros vs. Bravesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$20.78
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Rays vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Padres vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.59
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Angels vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.67
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$11.05
Rays vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Orioles vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$13.36
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$28.17
Penguins vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Utah vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.9
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$10.57
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+72.4%+$7.97
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$106.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.