MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec102306f4c1ab6d942027dca8a266386233947745d4c64c07ac201a846ad80e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Cubs, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $960,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,020,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $960,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Cubs | 50c | 714,363$355,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355,693.4 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 50c | 344,217$172,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,884.02 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Giants | 50c | 63,760$31,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,880.15 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Giants | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Giants | 51c | 50,000$25,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,750 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Giants | 51c | 31,256$15,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,315.57 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Giants | 50c | 25,789$12,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,894.38 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Giants | 60c | 25,442$15,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,055.32 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Giants | 50c | 24,336$12,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,168 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Giants | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Giants | 51c | 15,914$8,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,798.67 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Giants | 50c | 15,385$7,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,626.4 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Giants | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.71 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cubs | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 50c | 9,300$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 48c | 8,863$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,652.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Giants | 44c | 8,523$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,747.56 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cubs | 58c | 8,272$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.6 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Giants | 51c | 8,040$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.6 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Giants | 49c | 6,078$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.37 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Giants | 56c | 5,345$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.56 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Cubs | 55c | 4,563$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 51c | 4,037$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.59 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 49c | 3,007$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.4 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Giants | 49c | 2,854$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.7 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Cubs | 12c | 2,685$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 51c | 2,622$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.34 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Giants | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cubs | 49c | 1,915$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.09 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cubs | 49c | 1,836$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.93 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Cubs | 49c | 1,663$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.33 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Giants | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.7 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Cubs | 59c | 1,600$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.92 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 50c | 1,532$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.51 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Giants | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Giants | 51c | 1,472$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.18 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Giants | 50c | 1,420$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 50c | 1,417$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 47c | 1,348$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cubs | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Cubs | 48c | 1,039$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Cubs | 50c | 1,004$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cubs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cubs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Giants | 50c | 992.34$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.17 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…ee4fbacked Cubs | 57c | 948.04$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cubs | 45c | 851.41$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Giants | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Cubs | 50c | 781.98$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Giants | 65c | 779.64$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.64 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 43c | 746$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.25 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Giants | 51c | 718.06$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.85 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Cubs | 56c | 709.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Cubs | 49c | 675.47$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.17 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Cubs | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Cubs | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Giants | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants | 47c | 583.24$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 50c | 572$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.78 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Giants | 50c | 555.01$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.28 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Cubs | 47c | 527.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Cubs | 56c | 491.64$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.23 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Cubs | 37c | 451.84$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.92 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…9ff2backed Cubs | 48c | 413.04$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Giants | 38c | 400.22$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.12 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Cubs | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 47c | 398.83$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.45 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giants | 59c | 393.88$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Giants | 51c | 385.25$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 46c | 358.14$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.75 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4f…3d87backed Cubs | 50c | 356$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.76 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Giants | 50c | 346$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Giants | 51c | 344.86$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Giants | 53c | 343$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.13 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cubs | 58c | 340$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Giants | 49c | 310$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed Cubs | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Giants | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 52c | 278.47$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cubs | 49c | 246.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Giants | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 50c | 226.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…d9bdbacked Giants | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Cubs | 50c | 219.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cubs | 49c | 215.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Giants | 49c | 210.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.18 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cubs | 54c | 205.86$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c04cbacked Cubs | 50c | 201.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Giants | 51c | 201.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Cubs | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Giants | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Giants | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Giantsthis page
- Cubs vs. Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Cubs (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.