TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rays vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof Rays, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Rays18c32,510$5,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,795.641,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rays40c23,247$9,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,364.041,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed White Sox80c22,553$18,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,513.2478445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox64c19,268$12,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,996.742,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Rays55c13,465$7,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,405.8548254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed White Sox72c12,338$8,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,438.73040%12 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays54c11,476$6,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,196.8638043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked White Sox45c10,889$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,988.6826056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Rays56c10,174$5,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,697.7133554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Rays58c6,474$3,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,743.0321847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Rays15c5,299$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.1720747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rays64c5,197$3,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.1869249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd7…0356backed White Sox43c5,007$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.992152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc1…4534backed Rays57c3,834$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,185.383342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Rays6c3,700$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21216840.5%68 W · 100 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox45c2,626$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.372,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rays54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9456451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed White Sox45c1,990$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.52737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Rays23c1,839$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.7515033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Rays50c1,401$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.1831248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox63c1,282$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.024,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked White Sox44c1,262$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.5599149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed White Sox39c1,196$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.286,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed White Sox31c1,195$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8296,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Rays56c1,121$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.175451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Rays55c1,032$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.551953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rays6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rays56c999.96$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.981,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Rays57c999.63$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.798562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Rays16c998.08$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.573554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked White Sox54c926.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.2130842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c2…0f74backed Rays36c913.64$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.332751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rays21c902.19$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9170841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox45c887.69$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.131,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox75c868.27$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.271,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Rays54c855.98$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.2312857%73 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rays76c836.25$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.618,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rays15c828.44$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2780955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays55c750$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.563152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Rays24c727$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6426650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Rays14c675.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.536949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed White Sox74c663.16$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.871,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed White Sox43c663$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.911643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox73c632.57$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed White Sox55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22512,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Rays25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12551334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bbb…3607backed Rays54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+57.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rays54c497.57$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6973149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed White Sox75c489.01$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.479740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed White Sox79c480.51$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.517458.1%43 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed White Sox46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7857744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked White Sox46c421.43$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.571,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fec…fc7bbacked Rays24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001022.9%3 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed White Sox44c409.09$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox43c372.81$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rays55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox42c299.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.993,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Rays32c299.37$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7818446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed White Sox44c280.68$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.185658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rays54c269.15$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.341,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked White Sox45c263.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.414055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays30c262.32$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.766645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked White Sox43c253.6$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5519742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked White Sox43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.535245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8868…ec0dbacked White Sox46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.397443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed White Sox46c217$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1824346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3635…17c8backed Rays15c211$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6518958.2%110 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rays12c210.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.341,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x834b…a37ebacked Rays58c208.62$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked White Sox71c205.92$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.952965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked White Sox44c201.03$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.461,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rays70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14031145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e4d…67a5backed Rays55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012352.8%65 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rays56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e4e…62d5backed Rays57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed White Sox46c163.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0440144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed White Sox44c155$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.86163.9%39 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked White Sox80c132$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.445248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed White Sox69c130.49$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.454341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed White Sox49c125.83$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1718236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Rays12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152313%3 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Rays57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed White Sox43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.449450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Rays67c120$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9260052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox49c117.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.179,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked White Sox66c109$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5347745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16a1…24f8backed Rays54c104.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.72536%9 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Rays23c103.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.95632.1%18 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed White Sox77c103.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.923248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Rays32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5845732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Rays58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5829145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x066e…7c1dbacked White Sox46c95.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.653158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Rays21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ce…316ebacked Rays55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed White Sox34c90.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.857444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Rays57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Rays23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked White Sox43c86.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5666250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x702a…abb6backed Rays58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.