MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf60b0e371519e85b1b358968a121efba51bb670959dabe37ccbde5a56cfcc34f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Athletics | 17c | 60,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.95 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rays | 79c | 34,378$27,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,062.21 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rays | 50c | 15,779$7,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,889.72 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 50c | 10,758$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369.53 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Athletics | 33c | 10,545$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 17c | 6,710$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rays | 78c | 6,386$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.25 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Athletics | 50c | 5,902$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rays | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 51c | 3,399$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.13 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…9bc8backed Rays | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,779$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…515fbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Athletics | 13c | 1,900$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Rays | 72c | 1,741$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.45 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…5efebacked Rays | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed48…51f9backed Athletics | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb833…56f2backed Rays | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…ff82backed Rays | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…10c9backed Athletics | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 51c | 1,281$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…9c67backed Rays | 50c | 1,206$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…f3fcbacked Rays | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…f7ffbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,178$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…8945backed Athletics | 50c | 1,172$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf2…c477backed Rays | 50c | 1,144$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…a6bcbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…30a3backed Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…7ecdbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Rays | 54c | 999.85$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.37 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 50c | 916.58$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.29 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…5d6bbacked Athletics | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4804…a3bcbacked Rays | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…0c82backed Rays | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rays | 49c | 808.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.32 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 47c | 800$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.21 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…560dbacked Athletics | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rays | 79c | 757.88$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rays | 80c | 727.19$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.47 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 25c | 711.51$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics | 13c | 693.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 20c | 637.59$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Rays | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 3c | 586.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Rays | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rays | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Athletics | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Athletics | 50c | 495$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Athletics | 49c | 492.16$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.16 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Athletics | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rays | 50c | 429.59$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Athletics | 50c | 416.33$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.17 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Athletics | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…f925backed Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Athletics | 51c | 319.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Athletics | 11c | 312.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Athletics | 50c | 303.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Athletics | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Athletics | 51c | 294.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…81d2backed Rays | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…85bfbacked Rays | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…5fc1backed Athletics | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…471abacked Athletics | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Athletics | 31c | 250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 48c | 220$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…a786backed Rays | 50c | 216$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Athletics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Athletics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c2…e805backed Rays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…6dabbacked Rays | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Rays | 51c | 183.27$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…1744backed Rays | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 52c | 169.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Athletics | 50c | 166.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…eda0backed Athletics | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…8b04backed Rays | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d71…1038backed Rays | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Athletics | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b2…3212backed Athletics | 50c | 146$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Athletics | 50c | 145$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Athletics | 51c | 142.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc5…9819backed Athletics | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics | 50c | 137.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Athletics | 52c | 135.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…26c6backed Rays | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Athletics | 49c | 124.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…ebafbacked Athletics | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb432…88e4backed Athletics | 50c | 118.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…120abacked Athletics | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Rays | 56c | 104.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…3f7dbacked Athletics | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Athletics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.