NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d7f11d47bb7e70b873bf7f77f5e520cae61b7395e0a45d3734954dea49818f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Flyers | 56c | 1,151$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.6 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Ducks | 44c | 1,140$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Flyers | 75c | 1,126$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.51 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flyers | 58c | 1,000$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.45 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Ducks | 42c | 999.86$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.94 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0e…3c0fbacked Flyers | 58c | 976.43$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…752abacked Flyers | 58c | 820.61$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…1479backed Flyers | 58c | 701.99$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Ducks | 41c | 697.21$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.86 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 47c | 620.31$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Ducks | 43c | 521.42$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Ducks | 44c | 454.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers | 56c | 420.02$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 57c | 255$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Flyers | 58c | 214.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Ducks | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Flyers | 58c | 189.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Flyers | 57c | 179.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…abf3backed Ducks | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…14dfbacked Flyers | 64c | 158.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Flyers | 58c | 154.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Ducks | 43c | 153.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…8964backed Flyers | 58c | 153.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Ducks | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Ducks | 20c | 136.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Flyers | 76c | 131.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Flyers | 58c | 127.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Flyers | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Ducks | 42c | 105.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Flyers | 58c | 104$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e030backed Flyers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Ducks | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flyers | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Ducks | 41c | 99.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Flyers | 53c | 82.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Flyers | 58c | 80.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Ducks | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…0d6bbacked Ducks | 41c | 58.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafc9…97acbacked Ducks | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Ducks | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…9ea4backed Ducks | 43c | 56.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 60c | 54.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…7a4dbacked Flyers | 58c | 52.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ff…3fbebacked Ducks | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers | 56c | 51.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Flyers | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Flyers | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870d…b690backed Flyers | 57c | 49.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…0fa9backed Ducks | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Ducks | 44c | 46.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…d200backed Ducks | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Ducks | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…087cbacked Flyers | 55c | 43.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f3…0008backed Ducks | 44c | 43.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…e3e8backed Ducks | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…2776backed Flyers | 59c | 42.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3166…af77backed Flyers | 58c | 41.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…74a2backed Ducks | 42c | 41.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54b…6690backed Ducks | 42c | 40.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…b1bfbacked Flyers | 58c | 40.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…084cbacked Flyers | 58c | 40.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a2…57e3backed Ducks | 42c | 40.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ed…6e3fbacked Flyers | 58c | 40.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…7537backed Flyers | 56c | 39.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +130%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…54dbbacked Flyers | 58c | 39.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…5031backed Flyers | 57c | 39.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…b7acbacked Ducks | 38c | 39.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…f778backed Flyers | 56c | 38.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…c3acbacked Ducks | 44c | 37.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5251…6b67backed Flyers | 58c | 37.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…4741backed Flyers | 57c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…6997backed Ducks | 43c | 37.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Flyers | 55c | 37.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Ducks | 36c | 37.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8534…1f45backed Ducks | 42c | 36.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…8268backed Flyers | 58c | 36.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f1…0cb8backed Ducks | 41c | 36.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e64…94a6backed Flyers | 59c | 36.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb793…de55backed Flyers | 58c | 36.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…2b4fbacked Ducks | 42c | 36.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…cd77backed Ducks | 45c | 36.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…f0eabacked Flyers | 55c | 36.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…5df3backed Flyers | 58c | 35.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Ducks | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…c505backed Ducks | 39c | 35.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e14…bed4backed Flyers | 58c | 35.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Flyers | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc77…cac7backed Ducks | 42c | 34.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…5907backed Flyers | 59c | 34.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…5987backed Ducks | 41c | 34.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…3148backed Ducks | 42c | 34.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…d9b0backed Ducks | 41c | 34.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0526…c09bbacked Ducks | 45c | 34.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…069dbacked Flyers | 55c | 34.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…b224backed Flyers | 59c | 34.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Ducks | 42c | 33.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.