TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1338…0fa9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT14042.9%60 W · 80 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+614.3%+$73.71
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$22.53
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.75
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$15.91
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+203%+$26.39
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$15.91
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.45
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.72
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$11.92
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$23.68
Astros vs. Bravesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$20.15
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.17
Nationals vs. Cubsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.23
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.9
Yankees vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.46
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Rays vs. Athleticsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$11
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Mets vs. Padresbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Angels vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.67
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+143.9%+$43.17
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+58.7%+$9.4
Sharks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$37.28
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+127.3%+$22.91
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$28
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+177.8%+$30.22
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+117.4%+$19.96
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+63.9%+$8.31
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+53.8%+$7
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+127.3%+$17.82
Chiefs vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.