NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c273696168d03009d7d49ef7b61d690902b87c130c3794e0998b342021f1fe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Capitals | 42c | 38,194$15,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,343.23 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Oilers | 59c | 29,729$17,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,527.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Oilers | 58c | 23,635$13,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,696.73 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Capitals | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 39c | 5,361$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.53 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Oilers | 26c | 5,179$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.57 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Capitals | 62c | 4,607$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Oilers | 58c | 4,278$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 66c | 3,434$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.84 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Capitals | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.98 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Capitals | 78c | 2,145$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.22 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Oilers | 34c | 1,856$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Oilers | 57c | 1,750$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…89e8backed Oilers | 32c | 1,683$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Capitals | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 42c | 1,247$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.36 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…9d97backed Capitals | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…86eebacked Oilers | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Capitals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oilers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Capitals | 42c | 962.38$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.38 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Capitals | 41c | 953.81$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.55 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 68c | 938.4$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.29 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Capitals | 75c | 862.38$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.59 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Capitals | 43c | 856.78$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.34 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Capitals | 67c | 692.21$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.43 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Oilers | 62c | 676.55$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.92 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 64c | 626.88$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.67 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Capitals | 41c | 599.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa171…cc91backed Oilers | 57c | 554.86$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…8bc3backed Capitals | 43c | 554.86$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Capitals | 41c | 548.8$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.47 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 50c | 500$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Capitals | 43c | 465.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.09 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Oilers | 6c | 441.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Capitals | 40c | 438$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 39c | 436.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.31 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 44c | 414.92$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Oilers | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Capitals | 41c | 399.94$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.96 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…fd12backed Oilers | 56c | 344.48$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…1b3cbacked Capitals | 41c | 317.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Capitals | 69c | 303.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…496fbacked Oilers | 60c | 301.67$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…6f7bbacked Capitals | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 44c | 278.32$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.42 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Capitals | 75c | 261.33$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…20a1backed Oilers | 59c | 260$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…ed2dbacked Capitals | 44c | 252.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d0…ee28backed Capitals | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Capitals | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Oilers | 26c | 245.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Capitals | 41c | 243.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.91 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Oilers | 58c | 239.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…df03backed Capitals | 42c | 225.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Capitals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Oilers | 39c | 220.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Capitals | 41c | 219.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Capitals | 48c | 209.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Oilers | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfae…00e4backed Capitals | 42c | 207.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0534…b553backed Capitals | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Capitals | 45c | 191.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…64b2backed Oilers | 57c | 190.35$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eaa…f0d5backed Capitals | 41c | 190.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Capitals | 41c | 184.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Capitals | 40c | 158.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Capitals | 55c | 150.65$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals | 42c | 145.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Oilers | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe22e…039fbacked Capitals | 43c | 136.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Capitals | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed Oilers | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Capitals | 44c | 112.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d298backed Capitals | 42c | 107.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cc…87e8backed Capitals | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd294…c690backed Oilers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Oilers | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Capitals | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Oilers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Oilers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…c7b6backed Oilers | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Capitals | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Oilers | 35c | 94.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…cf2bbacked Capitals | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Capitals | 71c | 92.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…dbefbacked Capitals | 45c | 90.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844f…4e5abacked Capitals | 42c | 89.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839a…434abacked Oilers | 59c | 86.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…8679backed Oilers | 59c | 79.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…44c6backed Capitals | 42c | 78.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Oilers | 34c | 78.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a9…987ebacked Capitals | 42c | 77.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ff…3fbebacked Oilers | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…7b55backed Oilers | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.