NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f45a8c3f3bc433a14765caf5e00e678fc88668a8548b8724ec8de21300632cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Avalanche, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $793,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $923,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $793,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Utah | 26c | 184,567$48,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,188.68 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Utah | 79c | 105,948$83,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,481.48 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche | 35c | 90,000$31,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,199.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Avalanche | 58c | 53,958$31,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,295.84 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche | 72c | 51,083$36,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,867.06 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Utah | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,000 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Avalanche | 74c | 47,708$35,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,308.04 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Utah | 73c | 47,023$34,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,892.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche | 52c | 34,343$17,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,928.42 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Avalanche | 73c | 27,294$19,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,934.07 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Avalanche | 1c | 26,045$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Avalanche | 54c | 22,550$12,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,177 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Utah | 43c | 20,368$8,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,696.55 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Avalanche | 73c | 20,191$14,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,739.24 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 53c | 19,118$10,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,103.18 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Avalanche | 73c | 9,855$7,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,191.79 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Avalanche | 57c | 8,995$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.12 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Utah | 68c | 8,000$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.15 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Avalanche | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Utah | 75c | 6,474$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.1 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Utah | 43c | 5,621$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.85 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah | 44c | 5,595$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.59 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Utah | 39c | 4,765$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.32 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…f4c7backed Avalanche | 56c | 3,450$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Avalanche | 32c | 3,379$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.3 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Avalanche | 57c | 3,331$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.42 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Utah | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah | 73c | 2,479$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.15 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 69c | 2,467$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.29 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Avalanche | 31c | 2,462$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.19 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Utah | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Utah | 42c | 2,199$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.43 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Utah | 60c | 2,123$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.35 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Utah | 76c | 2,083$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.67 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Utah | 43c | 1,789$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.77 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Utah | 42c | 1,788$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Utah | 45c | 1,747$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.31 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0b…f5ebbacked Avalanche | 14c | 1,734$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,636$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.6 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…66ffbacked Avalanche | 59c | 1,633$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…0ca8backed Utah | 43c | 1,633$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Utah | 8c | 1,559$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.28 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Avalanche | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Avalanche | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Utah | 30c | 1,322$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.32 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 56c | 1,295$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.05 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah | 45c | 1,268$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.46 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…9b91backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…8e6cbacked Utah | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Utah | 28c | 1,093$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.86 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Utah | 68c | 1,076$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.32 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Avalanche | 37c | 1,031$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.65 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Utah | 41c | 1,004$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.36 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Avalanche | 57c | 1,004$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.02 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Utah | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7ab3backed Utah | 42c | 999.93$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…229ebacked Utah | 42c | 999.89$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah | 68c | 952.78$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.85 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah | 42c | 950$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Utah | 51c | 944.96$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.85 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah | 51c | 896.51$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.57 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 62c | 878.78$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 63c | 859.72$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.17 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Avalanche | 57c | 843$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.95 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah | 42c | 819.69$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Utah | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…bbfabacked Utah | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Utah | 42c | 763$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Avalanche | 56c | 728.2$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.79 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah | 42c | 725.97$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.06 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche | 58c | 707$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.06 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Utah | 48c | 670.9$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.7 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Utah | 42c | 632.35$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.76 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…0aa5backed Avalanche | 57c | 628.02$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Avalanche | 46c | 612$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.98 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche | 73c | 601.69$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.54 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Utah | 43c | 589.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.29 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Utah | 42c | 557.39$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.29 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Utah | 42c | 540.71$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.99 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…7566backed Utah | 56c | 536.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah | 41c | 517.06$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.06 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Avalanche | 23c | 501$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Avalanche | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Avalanche | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Avalanche | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…5f55backed Utah | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…8e64backed Avalanche | 59c | 477.99$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.44 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Avalanche | 42c | 475.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Utah | 44c | 463.64$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.64 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…aa95backed Avalanche | 58c | 434.9$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Utah | 9c | 400$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 57c | 393.82$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Avalanche | 58c | 387.93$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Avalanche | 33c | 362$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…5f64backed Avalanche | 58c | 360.34$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe044…78bdbacked Utah | 43c | 360.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…4ff5backed Utah | 43c | 358.63$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Utahthis page
- Avalanche vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.