TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xacf9…6cd8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+177.1%+$265.64
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+121.4%+$24.28
Bruins vs. Utahbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Oilers vs. Red Wingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.63
Penguins vs. Sharksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Wild vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Kraken vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$52.09
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$49.02
Wild vs. Capitalsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.4
Predators vs. Canadiensbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Bruins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.89
Hurricanes vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Penguins vs. Kingsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$59.33
Oilers vs. Islandersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Kraken vs. Senatorsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$48.93
Jets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$24.14
Flames vs. Utahbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+70.5%+$58.2
Florida Atlantic vs. South Floridabacked Florida Atlantic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Maryland Terrapins vs. UCLAbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.53
Georgia State vs. Georgia Southernbacked Georgia State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
Penn State vs. Iowabacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Washington State vs. Virginiabacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Texas A&M vs. Arkansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.84
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
Memphis vs. UAB Blazersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$73.24
Old Dominion vs. James Madisonbacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Michigan State vs. Indianabacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.92
Temple vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.91
SMU Mustangs vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Ohio State vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.55
Wyoming vs. Air Forcebacked Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Buffalo vs. UMassbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwesternbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.8
Baylor vs. TCUbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.58
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.48
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.06
San Jose State vs. Utah Statebacked San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.2
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$99.4
BYU vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$31.11
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.91
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$57.24
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$36.03
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Patriots vs. Saintsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$24.67
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+33%+$109.02
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+27%+$72.17
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.19
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+288.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+288.4%+$506.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.