NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79f838ab08d81dfc4d99ebfc2b9a4cd0c27b153e023c1bd4d3457592068c87e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Flames, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Flames | 18c | 65,351$12,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,016.57 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 78c | 28,243$22,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,097.91 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Flames | 31c | 23,476$7,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,243.06 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Utah | 68c | 23,257$15,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,442.25 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Utah | 47c | 20,583$9,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,909.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Flames | 20c | 20,543$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.17 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Flames | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Utah | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Utah | 67c | 9,217$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.63 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Utah | 67c | 9,026$6,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.42 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flames | 32c | 8,205$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.25 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah | 79c | 7,931$6,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.73 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Flames | 33c | 7,542$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…15d1backed Flames | 53c | 6,572$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Flames | 33c | 5,844$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah | 68c | 5,169$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.96 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Utah | 67c | 5,008$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Flames | 36c | 5,002$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.3 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Flames | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Flames | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 32c | 3,832$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.6 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Utah | 67c | 3,555$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.13 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Utah | 71c | 3,226$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.76 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Utah | 67c | 3,141$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.95 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah | 67c | 3,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.61 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Flames | 34c | 2,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Utah | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flames | 33c | 2,376$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.08 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Utah | 68c | 2,351$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.47 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Flames | 33c | 2,212$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Utah | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Flames | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.98 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 33c | 1,977$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.46 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Flames | 30c | 1,790$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Utah | 79c | 1,777$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.11 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…2a40backed Utah | 67c | 1,735$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…283bbacked Flames | 34c | 1,735$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Flames | 33c | 1,684$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.82 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 16c | 1,562$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.36 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…d55dbacked Flames | 33c | 1,555$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…a992backed Utah | 67c | 1,554$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4754…add3backed Flames | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah | 68c | 1,500$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.98 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Flames | 33c | 1,433$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.68 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah | 69c | 1,409$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.75 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Utah | 65c | 1,372$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.12 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…2efbbacked Flames | 34c | 1,361$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…2973backed Utah | 67c | 1,361$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Flames | 54c | 1,220$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.46 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Flames | 32c | 1,134$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.31 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Flames | 33c | 1,020$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.16 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Flames | 53c | 1,013$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…96dbbacked Utah | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Flames | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…05efbacked Flames | 15c | 900$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Flames | 32c | 858$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.56 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Flames | 33c | 845.45$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah | 68c | 752.64$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.77 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Utah | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 23c | 655$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Utah | 66c | 643.9$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.93 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flames | 13c | 599.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Utah | 51c | 550$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Flames | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Utah | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Flames | 18c | 499.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…41cebacked Flames | 33c | 480$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flames | 32c | 456.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…5d2cbacked Flames | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Flames | 33c | 450.56$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Utah | 68c | 418$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Flames | 32c | 395.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Utah | 67c | 392.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.69 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Flames | 24c | 372.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Flames | 31c | 335.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Flames | 22c | 304.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Flames | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Flames | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Flames | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Utah | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Flames | 33c | 280.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cca…4bc7backed Flames | 27c | 266.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Flames | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Utah | 68c | 232.45$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Flames | 33c | 225$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…1fd3backed Flames | 9c | 224.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Flames | 19c | 220$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Flames | 54c | 213.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Flames | 33c | 206.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Flames | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Flames | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Flames | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Flames | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…a584backed Flames | 33c | 199.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Flames | 19c | 176.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Flames | 33c | 166.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Utah | 69c | 156.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah | 62c | 150.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Utahthis page
- Flames vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flames vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.