Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa34783fd48a74ed72733506a6335aa21ef0f918ec80f63e90a305640b3e4d417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 69c | 8,918$6,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.6 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 5c | 6,690$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 44c | 5,980$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 4,269$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 55c | 4,040$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.41 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…796ebacked No | 58c | 4,040$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…8122backed Yes | 42c | 4,040$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21b…3716backed No | 59c | 2,681$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d2…b252backed Yes | 41c | 2,681$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 12c | 2,573$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.87 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 51c | 1,471$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 56c | 1,275$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.24 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 46c | 1,082$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.56 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 48c | 647.99$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.04 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 26c | 275.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Yes | 51c | 77.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 53c | 77.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 44c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 57c | 53.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 52c | 28.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…26b5backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…9961backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.