Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd70fe17286d33c6e94d70f3f5cc8a3c82c7b641e77e4cf9709bfff8b1360bee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 41c | 11,456$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,667.1 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 58c | 8,620$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 7,650$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.45 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 44c | 7,349$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 7,317$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.23 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 43c | 1,831$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…ef4bbacked No | 61c | 1,663$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 41c | 1,538$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x887a…c417backed Yes | 39c | 1,321$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 43c | 624$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.32 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 40c | 497.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 17c | 380$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a99…9306backed Yes | 44c | 326$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 59c | 308.65$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 56c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 43c | 258.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…d079backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…782bbacked Yes | 38c | 93.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…6b4abacked Yes | 43c | 86.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Yes | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 42c | 75.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 41c | 73.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 59c | 57.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Yes | 37c | 53.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…4ac6backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 40c | 49.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 45c | 44.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…6867backed Yes | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked No | 57c | 37.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…635ebacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…367fbacked No | 59c | 25.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02c…a000backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 57c | 17.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-12?this page
- Will Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Austin FC win on 2025-10-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.