TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa02c…a000

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Clippersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.42
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.87
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$23.06
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.32
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.05
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.58
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$63.33
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$29.23
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$20.68
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.75
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25.05
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.73
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+233.3%+$23.61
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.26
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Bucks vs. Grizzliesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+85.8%+$9.87
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.35
All 24 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.05
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Traktorbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will FC Anyang win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Davidson Wildcats vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Columbia International Rams vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Columbia International Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.75
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win on 2025-11-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18.25
Will Canada win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.