TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,168,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,405,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,168,489 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,678 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Clippers50c1,253,782$625,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625,00010049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed 76ers50c587,802$294,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293,056.351,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Clippers52c512,490$266,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266,157.7351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed 76ers51c426,876$215,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210,920.5723257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers50c250,000$125,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,00087144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Clippers49c204,080$99,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,999.389350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5aa…1449backed Clippers49c155,779$76,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,331.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers48c133,343$63,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,657.252,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Clippers50c130,000$65,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,0008037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers49c91,372$45,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,337.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed 76ers49c90,000$44,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,749.9419653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked 76ers52c89,079$46,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,758.1214358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked 76ers51c78,431$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,431.3744352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Clippers48c74,584$35,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,800.4540446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers48c68,199$32,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,686.681,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers9c65,492$5,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,667.72,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed 76ers51c63,886$32,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,573.0523245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers50c63,308$31,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,382.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Clippers49c62,012$30,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,385.7319150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked 76ers51c60,000$30,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,399.9859653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x449a…a3c8backed 76ers49c58,200$28,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,4881145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80c2…561cbacked Clippers51c58,200$29,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,4881154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Clippers13c58,162$7,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,530.551,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers3c56,597$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.61,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked 76ers46c51,801$23,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,080.431,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed 76ers52c48,471$25,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,266.2610046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Clippers11c47,193$5,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,087.061,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Clippers48c45,524$21,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,851.5440350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Clippers1c42,124$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.317042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked 76ers69c42,066$28,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,106.9848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…b212backed 76ers47c41,813$19,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,161.031844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Clippers22c41,561$9,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,090.651,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked 76ers50c41,236$20,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,617.8915841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6863…79fbbacked 76ers75c40,729$30,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,321.271145.5%5 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.30per pick76cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed 76ers51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,60060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers49c39,273$19,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,243.771,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked 76ers51c38,936$19,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,078.8219560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed 76ers45c36,792$16,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,235.6910459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed 76ers51c36,111$18,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,594.3925753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers49c35,653$17,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,195.394,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Clippers17c32,803$5,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,600.8778445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers23c32,165$7,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,320.954,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe194…cd47backed Clippers50c30,114$15,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,042.471764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed 76ers51c29,365$14,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,405.912,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked 76ers80c27,193$21,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,563.726155.7%34 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers12c27,143$3,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.543,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Clippers13c26,438$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.629424.5%23 W · 71 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked 76ers52c25,000$12,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,099.9931445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Clippers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed 76ers50c24,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef44…dab7backed Clippers56c23,998$13,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,438.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c6…68febacked 76ers44c23,995$10,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,406.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Clippers50c22,333$11,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,166.520551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Clippers9c21,788$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.9628241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed 76ers45c21,630$9,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,794.7255346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers52c21,120$11,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,036.81,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Clippers50c21,000$10,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,489.994235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers58c20,719$12,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,682.552,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Clippers18c20,555$3,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.8112843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafdb…cdf6backed Clippers0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Clippers1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Clippers0c20,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6527917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked 76ers51c19,608$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,607.8420758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed 76ers50c19,100$9,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,5507957%45 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers62c18,773$11,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,061.815,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Clippers17c18,547$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.691,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Clippers54c18,546$10,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,01513063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b69…a9f2backed 76ers56c18,377$10,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,175.973452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Clippers55c18,091$9,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,949.784742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed 76ers46c16,841$7,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,094.3734654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed 76ers50c16,773$8,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,307.6615952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed 76ers51c16,534$8,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,101.6621549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed 76ers50c16,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0007946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked 76ers50c14,804$7,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,372.8427747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked 76ers51c13,500$6,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,615.0235251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked 76ers51c13,356$6,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,544.5738251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Clippers54c13,010$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed 76ers74c12,740$9,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,311.6727865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Clippers0c12,398$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.724573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf109…f33bbacked Clippers0c11,760$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked 76ers52c11,538$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,538.4610746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed 76ers48c11,511$5,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,985.616651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Clippers54c11,325$6,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,171.236741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked 76ers51c11,232$5,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,503.8165750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed 76ers50c11,043$5,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,503.8871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Clippers23c10,959$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.1761939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a7…1493backed Clippers10c10,794$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.848127.2%22 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Clippers23c10,494$2,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.4438540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Clippers50c10,383$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked 76ers62c10,382$6,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,943.3814853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked 76ers50c10,335$5,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,167.3624554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed 76ers51c10,250$5,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,022.51,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers49c10,195$5,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,021.653,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Clippers25c10,133$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.1989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed 76ers50c10,108$5,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,054.0838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed 76ers51c10,025$5,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,912.4929347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0710…fc9ebacked Clippers0c10,011$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Clippers53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed 76ers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.