NBA · resolved market
Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa75e8ca43b5fb1c4d0b478df528b25d72e3feec0352554c65b754329e127ba83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 41c | 168$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 59c | 168$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 46c | 118$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Yes | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked No | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked No | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked No | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 10.5this page
- 76ers vs. Clippers76ers won
- 76ers vs. Clippers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.