TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$257,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$312,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,101 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under50c60,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00027747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c56,050$28,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,024.942,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c22,468$10,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,712.029,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7287…5381backed Over50c18,932$9,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,445.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Over53c14,556$7,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,832.624725.5%12 W · 35 L-12.4wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c13,874$6,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,757.2566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c9,032$4,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,506.434,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over52c7,763$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763.1320849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under49c6,532$3,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,202.4826949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c6,359$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c6,125$3,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,001.2558449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under47c5,822$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.2244352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over52c5,492$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.1465750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c5,419$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.481,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Under50c4,615$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.6112547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c4,200$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Over51c4,120$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.85532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over52c4,082$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.034654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over50c3,850$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.9618536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc60e…088cbacked Over53c3,500$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6451070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c3,499$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.1856453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.084,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Over51c2,420$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.6139051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over53c2,400$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c2,200$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.8911358.4%66 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c1,939$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.533,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7990957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c1,745$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.693,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under47c1,660$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78070246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed Under47c1,465$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.556132.8%20 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over55c1,330$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.0840451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Under50c1,296$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64843453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x266d…083fbacked Over54c1,091$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.745664.3%36 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3920147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under46c945.19$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.7929245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Over53c935.49$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.497536%27 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.933756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Over51c915.64$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.664050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under48c894.21$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.381,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over51c862.75$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.7528554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e70…7214backed Over55c676.39$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.881861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over50c395.93$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9753043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over51c300$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over51c299.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0320149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c291.6$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7942…f92cbacked Over51c274.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.517643.4%33 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253060%18 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Over51c200.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.498659.3%51 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9280744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b3…f97cbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985151%26 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under49c196.46$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2743244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.086266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Over53c188.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.758240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over54c186.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0413749.6%68 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1917353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7559144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3955…74cabacked Under50c143.84$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.922927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under23c127$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1123047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc918…f848backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.383959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3448146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over51c99.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9825143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x973a…52eabacked Over51c98.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0413352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ba…5038backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over51c93.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.024965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f6…8160backed Over35c92.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.181050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Under48c89.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.147346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Over50c81.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7116443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Over50c81.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7115040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over51c69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8753945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over51c66.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8215849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over51c64.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5362844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c62.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.445,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over51c61.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0176250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over51c60.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8992750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c60.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.781,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Over55c58.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.542352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa99e…fa3dbacked Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Over51c48.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.714352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Over51c44.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.584425%11 W · 33 L-9.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x81b7…bd2abacked Over51c41.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.183256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.211847.5%56 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e42…a982backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2215758%91 W · 66 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3154…67f5backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe726…958ebacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b98…e5d1backed Over51c39.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.198158%47 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.