TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under53c59,703$31,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,445.5340446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c47,905$22,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,453.292,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under55c40,000$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,999.9220758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c18,550$9,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,408.069,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over49c12,360$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,359.734358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under52c11,755$6,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,111.2245850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.9935450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under13c9,368$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.281,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over50c8,940$4,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,469.8938251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under49c7,488$3,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,669.2944352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c7,434$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,994.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under51c6,781$3,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,425.012,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over49c6,442$3,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.9519954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over45c6,290$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,459.556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c6,270$3,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,146.792,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Over65c5,746$3,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0116753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c5,688$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.124,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under53c5,661$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.3324549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over45c3,707$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.663,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c3,531$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.43,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c3,259$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over45c2,950$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.552052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c2,808$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c2,773$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.953,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c2,516$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under53c2,241$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.221,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Under49c2,020$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.87536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10016550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7287…5381backed Over50c1,989$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over49c1,748$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.222,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c1,596$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84650754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c1,545$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.732,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c1,502$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.963,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under60c1,467$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.0927745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over48c1,323$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.9265750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,116$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.6921247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c999.87$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under51c963.04$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.1571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over51c963$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.0795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.428554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under50c940$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47018743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57c7…4138backed Under52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4162045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over51c716.51$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.0918650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over47c639$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.671,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c497.52$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.762,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c328.1$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.343,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over47c315.95$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5453043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c315.93$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7b3…f97cbacked Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1565151%26 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Over53c267.92$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9214947%70 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c215$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.81,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7c…bfd7backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5dd…5a9fbacked Over80c186.78$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.516556.9%37 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under25c183.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.592,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec5…ece4backed Over52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Over49c179.01$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.094425%11 W · 33 L-9.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over52c176$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135b…2c6dbacked Over67c169.3$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.941457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+51.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over51c155.22$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under53c152$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5641048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over52c146.83$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4820149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under56c141.6$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3311343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc416…87b3backed Under17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3836453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1145542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over75c106.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6742348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1714547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…d0f5backed Under18c103.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.531136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under51c100.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2453149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5811356.6%64 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5625846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x557d…4ffebacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under34c93.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.843,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0aa…6818backed Over53c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.891533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Under19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc99…7dc1backed Over48c79.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.993339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over48c79.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1225143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over45c76.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9655751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under47c76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.729050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over50c74.65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.671,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Over47c63.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5316443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Over47c63.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5315040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over52c61.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.541,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…f0a5backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.83243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed Over45c56.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.983053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under51c55.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.42,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe63b…b7c9backed Over48c55.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.612360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over48c54.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1762347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Over73c53.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3219050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over65c52.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.271,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.