NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68e50cdd1eccb50a53da77b8f08e4ac5f703c576efa030cef4dcfb0a9e3c5ea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Clippers, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Clippers | 46c | 23,155$10,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,651.47 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked 76ers | 55c | 14,579$7,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,631 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Clippers | 45c | 10,041$4,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,518.55 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked 76ers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 54c | 8,812$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed 76ers | 54c | 7,778$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.78 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers | 46c | 4,815$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.17 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed 76ers | 54c | 4,356$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.56 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Clippers | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers | 46c | 2,548$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.17 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Clippers | 45c | 2,520$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers | 54c | 1,499$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked 76ers | 54c | 1,259$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.26 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 49c | 1,121$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 45c | 1,005$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 47c | 991.84$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Clippers | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed 76ers | 53c | 329.83$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.02 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206d…b96cbacked 76ers | 50c | 327.65$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Clippers | 46c | 300.92$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.16 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Clippers | 49c | 259$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Clippers | 45c | 250$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers | 45c | 204.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed 76ers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked 76ers | 55c | 164.93$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed 76ers | 51c | 135.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Clippers | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…d4a4backed Clippers | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3675…e4cdbacked Clippers | 52c | 115.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Clippers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked 76ers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed 76ers | 29c | 97.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Clippers | 45c | 76.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 67c | 72.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Clippers | 33c | 72.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed 76ers | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Clippers | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed 76ers | 54c | 60.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked 76ers | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Clippers | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…6102backed Clippers | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Clippers | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Clippers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Clippers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Clippers | 46c | 33.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Clippers | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers | 55c | 32.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Clippers | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Clippers | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…ba86backed 76ers | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 76ers | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Clippers | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Clippers | 47c | 21.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed 76ers | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)this page
- 76ers vs. Clippers76ers won
- 76ers vs. Clippers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.