TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,816 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over43c12,714$5,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,201.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked Under58c5,233$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.123850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2364…b3e3backed Over48c4,768$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under56c4,556$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.842369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98e…1b28backed Over48c3,811$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a0…667cbacked Under52c3,657$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6608…d834backed Under52c3,621$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2e3…7b55backed Over48c3,597$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc2…eb3abacked Under52c3,521$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9081…fa07backed Over48c3,512$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dda…1d46backed Over48c3,489$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa20f…bfaebacked Under52c3,452$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under56c3,317$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.721,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd520…b420backed Over48c3,278$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a9d…7d62backed Under52c3,246$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadde…e494backed Under52c3,215$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x856d…04ddbacked Over48c3,025$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…ba0bbacked Under52c2,775$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c0c…3a2dbacked Under52c1,960$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.68751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over44c1,167$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over43c864.21$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.383,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under56c838.43$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.5271547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c729.73$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under56c606$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.361,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfe…94a3backed Under56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over47c528.68$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under58c473.55$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.574,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over43c410.01$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.131,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Under55c390.89$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9913464.2%86 W · 48 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Under60c336.2$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.722630.8%8 W · 18 L-6.8wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-48.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over50c331.41$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.023,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under11c324.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.521,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6316052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over37c290.12$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.243,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over49c290$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.91,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Under51c290$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.918240.7%74 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over45c260.24$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9720536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c220.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.654,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Under16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3240%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over44c199.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9980744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Under48c199.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9926339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Under56c193.66$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.457454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under39c189.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.523,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db0…21b2backed Under64c156.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under58c132.76$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c126.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.84,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under52c113.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.247043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc615…c7aebacked Under50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c108.11$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.062,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5542551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6761253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5541354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f135backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9882…4dddbacked Under58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.518256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3048740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under58c48.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289050%45 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adb…e1fdbacked Under55c46.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Over45c43.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.977145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb58…e7eabacked Over46c43.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6715347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d45…dfafbacked Under48c33.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f8…19cebacked Under52c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6150351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f8c…2157backed Under57c32.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.573348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b39…c9f2backed Under58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick63cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.987950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed1…1094backed Under58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45865.5%38 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea6a…3ee2backed Over45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid+8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over45c29.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1450841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.42,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8599…3811backed Under55c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Over45c26.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.845250%26 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Over46c26.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.036453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.57545.3%34 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under58c24.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3957657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Under56c22.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.779150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under54c21.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.413,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.