TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc6c…fe22

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT7454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$61.71
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$154.43
76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$108.45
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100.67
Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$40.23
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$98.84
Jazz vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.4%+$98.69
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.24
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100.32
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.8%+$41.54
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$79.2
Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$79.2
Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+75.4%+$76.11
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.8%+$26.39
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.96
US Lecce vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$41.56
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.68
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$51.2
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$76.02
SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$54.54
Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$17.5
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$15.84
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford Terriersbacked Samford Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Eliot Spizzirri vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+72.4%+$34.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$61.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.