NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e17c595c7040bd7b65ea3651f64e308ee193af92b659087c77db6c516d74b87

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $126,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $130,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,631 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	50c	32,108$16,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,103.3	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	49c	27,938$13,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,730.96	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under	50c	25,625$12,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,832.15	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b37…3b3ebacked Over	51c	9,822$5,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,009.02	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over	51c	9,505$4,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,847.35	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over	1c	7,811$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.75	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over	51c	6,735$3,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,434.69	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	50c	6,668$3,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,314.13	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under	49c	6,122$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,122.45	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	50c	4,400$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over	50c	4,268$2,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,134	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under	68c	2,746$1,877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$868.77	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over	51c	2,282$1,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,164	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over	52c	2,195$1,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.61	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Over	49c	2,066$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012.32	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over	35c	2,045$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	58	65.5%38 W · 20 L	+9.7wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Over	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d37…5b73backed Under	64c	1,637$1,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.03	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	35c	1,453$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.63	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Over	51c	1,176$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	50c	1,126$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over	44c	944.14$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.42	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	50c	531.43$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.93	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over	52c	493.07$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.39	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	5c	423.91$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Under	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	36c	313.65$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.84	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Under	71c	313.04$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.33	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	49c	279.45$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.63	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Under	77c	258.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.83	149	47%70 W · 79 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over	42c	237.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	186	50%93 W · 93 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	55c	225$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.75	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d2…63c4backed Over	12c	222.16$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	62c	204.97$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.29	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over	49c	201.11$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.84	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea81…ef51backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over	51c	193.69$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	625	46.9%293 W · 332 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under	51c	188.25$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.24	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	51c	186.21$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.24	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	74c	180.55$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	51c	177$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.27	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over	51c	123$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.73	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	477	38.2%182 W · 295 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Over	49c	97.95$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.36	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Over	50c	93.2$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.6	53	67.9%36 W · 17 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under	76c	93$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.47	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	48c	87.16$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.32	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0fe…0e0ebacked Over	14c	80$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under	49c	62.98$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.81	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x557d…4ffebacked Under	49c	61.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over	35c	60.04$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	397	56.7%225 W · 172 L	+21.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Under	48c	54.54$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.36	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.8wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+39%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x71c1…1bd8backed Over	38c	52.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	64.4%29 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Under	63c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.56	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over	49c	49.97$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.62	251	43%108 W · 143 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Under	72c	42$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+6.5wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over	51c	41.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Under	67c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Over	49c	39.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.65	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Over	49c	39.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.65	150	40%60 W · 90 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under	49c	35.6$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.23	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Over	52c	35.31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.36	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over	49c	32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.83	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…b385backed Over	50c	30.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.07	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over	51c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over	49c	28.73$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe711…3dd2backed Under	75c	28.57$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.14	128	55.5%71 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Over	50c	22.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4662…1d65backed Under	49c	20.92$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.67	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under	52c	19.67$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.53	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5this page
1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Pelicans won
1H Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Pelicans won
Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 21.5No won
Collin Sexton: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Collin Sexton: Points O/U 10.5No won
Derik Queen: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Pelicans vs. HornetsHornets won
Pelicans vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
Pelicans vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 17.5No won
Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Pelicans won
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Yves Missi: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event