TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Yves Missi: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,494 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65ea…223fbacked No47c113$53 inWon+$59.898450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked No48c107$51 inWon+$55.644146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed No48c59$28 inWon+$30.689360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed No45c44$20 inWon+$24.25650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Yes53c39$21 inLost-$20.672035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked Yes53c37$20 inLost-$19.613050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Yes52c36$19 inLost-$18.722339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d49…c438backed Yes52c32$17 inLost-$16.642832.1%9 W · 19 L-6.0wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-42.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Yes53c31$16 inLost-$16.483857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Yes54c30$16 inLost-$16.115552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…9fcabacked Yes52c27$14 inLost-$14.041747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed Yes53c27$14 inLost-$14.312958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x663b…e26cbacked Yes55c22$12 inLost-$12.12437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.