TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c7,057$3,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,317.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over0c6,866$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.781,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over47c6,684$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,141.5129055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.995858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc054…ddb2backed Over46c3,741$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85ab…be51backed Over46c3,741$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…2b97backed Over46c3,521$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f76…c350backed Over46c3,325$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222e…0a68backed Over46c3,241$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd5…5bd0backed Under54c3,141$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e9…13dbbacked Under54c3,125$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d5…b814backed Under54c3,122$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec04…747cbacked Under54c3,112$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under52c3,058$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.711,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa73b…dd71backed Under54c2,874$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e78…1df2backed Under54c2,744$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Under52c2,609$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.342070%14 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under54c1,443$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.782,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over46c1,217$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7854…122abacked Over52c1,211$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1949…09ffbacked Under48c1,135$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8016…dde5backed Over52c1,021$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…14c3backed Under48c1,011$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db2…2252backed Over46c949$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b1…ef05backed Over52c921$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Under55c909.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.319556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over44c876.65$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc56…015bbacked Over52c868$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f38…4656backed Over52c812$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8a2…9984backed Over52c788$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7924…6cefbacked Under48c787$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa347…2578backed Under48c769$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under49c690.68$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.7238253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4a…1593backed Over52c679$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3992…cdd6backed Under48c678$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5365…8767backed Under48c658$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6866…fc25backed Under48c589$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under54c585.59$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.983,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c572.58$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.662,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d9…a3efbacked Under48c568$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc750…f0a8backed Under48c524$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4505…87cabacked Under48c487$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ac…7ad8backed Over52c444$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc740…aacabacked Under48c433$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd12c…f2d4backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1841947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over51c395$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4515650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4938…6f45backed Over52c388$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Under54c367.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.314254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under54c328$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9952…2222backed Over52c322$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1414,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…5ce2backed Under48c268$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a88…88e4backed Over52c261$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c252.75$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.275,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over47c214.74$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9343244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9661747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8680744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa36…d240backed Over52c192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Over53c190.57$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Over44c186$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.849247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over46c134.74$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.721,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under55c129.09$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under56c116.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.077040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under55c108.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4921243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Over46c106$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.763348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Over46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.46349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c83.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.71,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Over46c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.59050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under55c73.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.211,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over47c72.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.82,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under54c43.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.921,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under54c43.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9131155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over45c40.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.283,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1849358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Under54c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.565056%28 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b98…e5d1backed Under52c32.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.718158%47 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf340…6224backed Under54c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04a1…6b2dbacked Under54c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Under54c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.883154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under54c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5435049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b0…b331backed Under50c26.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.123948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Under54c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.962544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1252240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Under54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.122161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under53c20.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.287950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…7b2ebacked Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.