TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,540 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb86d…3c53backed Yes61c164.93$100 inWon+$64.9347134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No39c142.19$55 inLost-$55.461,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed No41c76$31 inLost-$31.167753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed No46c67$31 inLost-$30.828552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked No44c65$29 inLost-$28.67361.6%45 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes54c39$21 inWon+$17.944148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Yes56c37$21 inWon+$16.282944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Yes59c29$17 inWon+$11.893863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Yes54c28$15 inWon+$12.882540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07a4…be3abacked Yes56c28$16 inWon+$12.323161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed Yes59c25$15 inWon+$10.252965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Yes59c22$13 inWon+$9.024353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.