TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$848,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$871,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $848,064 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pelicans50c400,661$200,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200,330.787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hornets50c350,000$175,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets51c108,800$55,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,551.981,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Hornets49c103,985$50,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,032.5343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f4…544cbacked Pelicans51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,0003920.5%8 W · 31 L-11.0wins-0.28per pick49cpaid-58.8%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Pelicans50c56,510$28,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,255.1826753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans49c43,337$21,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,235.3592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Hornets50c42,919$21,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,459.463847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets50c40,061$20,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,029.241,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Pelicans50c25,435$12,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,717.5744352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans49c25,278$12,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,426.031,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Pelicans49c24,999$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,249.7515545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Pelicans49c20,173$9,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,884.5371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans48c20,000$9,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,643.841,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Hornets50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans50c16,692$8,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,345.811,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans50c14,826$7,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,348.434,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hornets53c12,000$6,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,610.3846145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Hornets50c11,111$5,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,555.524554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Pelicans50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Hornets50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Hornets50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Hornets50c7,776$3,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8885945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Hornets51c7,451$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,650.9829347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans50c6,771$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1057…9ea5backed Hornets51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed Hornets51c4,928$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.042161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Hornets50c4,769$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.2837539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pelicans0c4,050$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.661,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Pelicans49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9613954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Hornets51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.579051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Hornets52c3,847$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.742748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Hornets51c3,605$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.4948347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Hornets50c3,317$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.4820055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Pelicans50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Hornets52c2,371$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.159741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Hornets51c2,353$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.9411351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Pelicans49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Hornets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Hornets51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7810048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Hornets51c1,875$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.5121852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets45c1,651$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Hornets49c1,633$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.6531551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Pelicans50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80021152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pelicans51c1,569$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.192,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed Hornets52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.464862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Hornets52c1,346$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.155042%21 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans49c1,288$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans48c1,249$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.052,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Hornets51c1,151$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9154747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans49c1,061$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.473,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hornets50c1,020$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.21,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Hornets51c1,016$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.6912843.8%56 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf484…0e02backed Pelicans51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-74.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Hornets51c971.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.7714254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Hornets54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9350954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Pelicans47c812.93$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.0858951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Hornets54c555.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4713850%69 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Hornets51c549.02$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.027862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d35…e83ebacked Hornets50c525.2$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.66643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Hornets54c505$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.311444.7%51 W · 63 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans49c503.18$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.684,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Hornets50c500.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.965468.5%37 W · 17 L+9.4wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Pelicans48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24019647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Hornets49c499.93$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.964055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hornets50c446.01$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.723,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Pelicans50c442.29$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.152070%14 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Pelicans51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Hornets50c392$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19615849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a5…0a1abacked Hornets52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Pelicans40c380.22$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2521243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b09…85efbacked Hornets49c336.35$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Pelicans50c314$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15762347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Hornets49c281.63$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6311736.8%43 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans51c278$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.223,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Pelicans55c256.01$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.823644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Hornets51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.93060%18 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Pelicans50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets50c235.29$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.652,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pelicans46c215.41$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.091,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Pelicans50c214$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86dd…98aabacked Hornets51c201.96$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.96944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets50c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3352844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Pelicans50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Hornets49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10228348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Pelicans49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1925…8249backed Hornets51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0811252.7%59 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Hornets51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0819741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Hornets51c193.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.923145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Hornets51c192.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1662546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Hornets51c179.7$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0513563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Pelicans49c166.67$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6720149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe886…ba86backed Hornets50c166.49$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Pelicans50c162.81$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4151146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Hornets51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8672250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hornets51c156$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.112,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Hornets51c149.65$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.338744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.