NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x393596dabd1f1d91c5c2acff46d4364af4b130c2e75d5befa03098d43a94ffde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $848,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $871,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $848,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pelicans | 50c | 400,661$200,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,330.7 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hornets | 50c | 350,000$175,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets | 51c | 108,800$55,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,551.98 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Hornets | 49c | 103,985$50,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,032.53 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pelicans | 50c | 56,510$28,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,255.18 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pelicans | 49c | 43,337$21,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,235.35 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Hornets | 50c | 42,919$21,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,459.46 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets | 50c | 40,061$20,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,029.24 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Pelicans | 50c | 25,435$12,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,717.57 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans | 49c | 25,278$12,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,426.03 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Pelicans | 49c | 24,999$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.75 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pelicans | 49c | 20,173$9,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,884.53 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans | 48c | 20,000$9,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,643.84 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hornets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pelicans | 50c | 16,692$8,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,345.81 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 14,826$7,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,348.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hornets | 53c | 12,000$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,610.38 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Hornets | 50c | 11,111$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.5 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pelicans | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Hornets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Hornets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Hornets | 50c | 7,776$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Hornets | 51c | 7,451$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.98 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans | 50c | 6,771$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Hornets | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Hornets | 51c | 4,928$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Hornets | 50c | 4,769$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.28 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pelicans | 0c | 4,050$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Pelicans | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.96 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Hornets | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…48ccbacked Hornets | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Hornets | 51c | 3,605$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.49 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Hornets | 50c | 3,317$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.48 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Pelicans | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Hornets | 52c | 2,371$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.15 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Hornets | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Hornets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Hornets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Hornets | 51c | 1,875$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.51 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 45c | 1,651$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Hornets | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.19 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Hornets | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Hornets | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,288$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 48c | 1,249$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.05 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Hornets | 51c | 1,151$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.91 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,061$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hornets | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.2 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Hornets | 51c | 1,016$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.69 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…0e02backed Pelicans | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Hornets | 51c | 971.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.77 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Hornets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Pelicans | 47c | 812.93$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.08 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Hornets | 54c | 555.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.47 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Hornets | 51c | 549.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.02 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Hornets | 50c | 525.2$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Hornets | 54c | 505$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 49c | 503.18$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Hornets | 50c | 500.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Pelicans | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Hornets | 49c | 499.93$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.96 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hornets | 50c | 446.01$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.72 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Pelicans | 50c | 442.29$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.15 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pelicans | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Hornets | 50c | 392$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…0a1abacked Hornets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Pelicans | 40c | 380.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…85efbacked Hornets | 49c | 336.35$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 314$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Hornets | 49c | 281.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pelicans | 51c | 278$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Pelicans | 55c | 256.01$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Hornets | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pelicans | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets | 50c | 235.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pelicans | 46c | 215.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 214$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…98aabacked Hornets | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets | 50c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Hornets | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Pelicans | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…8249backed Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Hornets | 51c | 193.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Hornets | 51c | 192.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Hornets | 51c | 179.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Pelicans | 49c | 166.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…ba86backed Hornets | 50c | 166.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 162.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Hornets | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 51c | 156$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Hornets | 51c | 149.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Collin Sexton: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Derik Queen: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Pelicans vs. HornetsHornets won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Yves Missi: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.