NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2abd9a5e71b748532e1376eddf05493b7c8734897782c31984b022f44ec138e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 55c | 3,230$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.78 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 62c | 2,405$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.58 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 39c | 2,199$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,645$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 60c | 1,593$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 39c | 1,337$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.55 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 48c | 1,037$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.94 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 45c | 750$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 55c | 750$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 40c | 507.22$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 61c | 402.66$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 20c | 389.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…02e0backed Over | 48c | 343$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 270.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 59c | 203.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 43c | 181.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 47c | 104$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 43c | 104$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Under | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…5fc5backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 53c | 35.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Under | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 55c | 28.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 45c | 28.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Under | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Collin Sexton: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Derik Queen: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Pelicans vs. HornetsHornets won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Saddiq Bey: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Saddiq Bey: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Yves Missi: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.