TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Pelicans, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,576,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,919,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,576,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Pelicans30c333,333$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,999.769350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets71c312,603$223,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,198.532,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets70c152,460$107,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,098.572,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Pelicans31c145,355$45,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,060.183534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pelicans30c142,500$42,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,749.9251844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Pelicans31c100,000$31,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,00040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Hornets69c95,554$65,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,621.8672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans29c91,777$26,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,377.451,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Hornets69c80,000$55,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,799.9843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans38c77,982$29,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,428.775,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets74c70,614$52,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,121.891,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Pelicans31c64,973$20,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,203.516752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pelicans30c64,162$19,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,565.91,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Hornets70c60,000$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,999.9218151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Pelicans33c53,913$17,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,766.1783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans30c50,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.9848343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans32c48,874$15,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,406.581,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Hornets70c45,000$31,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,499.9927747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Hornets71c36,411$25,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,716.7619388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Hornets71c35,000$24,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,15019653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Pelicans30c35,000$10,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,649.9919751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets68c35,000$23,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,249.8731445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Hornets70c34,509$24,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,362.6614358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Hornets73c30,526$22,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,200.0812951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets69c30,011$20,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,190.639,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans31c30,000$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,30060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans39c27,122$10,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,615.182,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd95c…f1d7backed Hornets70c25,203$17,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,561.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pelicans0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Hornets70c23,637$16,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,207.3531644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Hornets69c22,750$15,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,052.511653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Hornets27c20,904$5,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,260.1559653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Hornets69c20,000$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans26c20,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets69c19,774$13,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,060.964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets70c18,660$13,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,643.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets71c18,056$12,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.021,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Hornets51c17,195$8,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,485.4718140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…db04backed Hornets53c16,813$8,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,830.23056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans49c15,870$7,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,843.012,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pelicans27c15,749$4,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,252.1145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Pelicans28c14,900$4,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1728640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Hornets72c14,900$10,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,171.999054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Pelicans49c12,967$6,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,401.3533428.1%94 W · 240 L-20.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Pelicans27c12,500$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.9928742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Pelicans28c12,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.9812144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Pelicans27c11,887$3,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,237.6636741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Hornets37c11,508$4,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,225.5450838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans30c11,291$3,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,397.721,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Pelicans31c11,290$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50012740.9%52 W · 75 L-15.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Pelicans43c11,202$4,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,792.4423052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Pelicans31c10,782$3,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,342.4238434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans34c10,757$3,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,634.73,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Hornets39c10,608$4,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,464.3134456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hornets73c10,523$7,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,872.432,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Hornets57c10,430$5,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,484.799849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Pelicans56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Pelicans72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.9917646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Hornets70c9,804$6,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.292352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe194…cd47backed Hornets73c9,332$6,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.381764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets50c9,243$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,642.151,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cdf…bfe6backed Pelicans0c9,237$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Hornets69c9,194$6,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85024744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09c…4d9abacked Pelicans73c8,219$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Hornets57c8,060$4,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428.935143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans31c8,038$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans31c8,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Pelicans70c7,820$5,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,505.1523747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hornets69c7,808$5,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.3472450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Pelicans72c7,564$5,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,429.7228241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Pelicans27c7,301$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.2614055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Hornets72c7,300$5,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04413148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans26c7,294$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.3777348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Hornets43c7,265$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.483953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Hornets46c7,190$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,905.38155.6%45 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Hornets54c7,116$3,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.8762144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hornets70c7,065$4,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Hornets44c6,782$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,781.6425945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Pelicans40c6,548$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.749640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Hornets70c6,534$4,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.221440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans37c6,406$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.521,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans31c6,383$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.982,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pelicans44c6,349$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.8448956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bbe…b4b7backed Hornets70c6,300$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8901154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Pelicans38c6,200$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.5220057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets69c6,195$4,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Hornets70c6,000$4,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78020453.9%110 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Hornets65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9916864.3%108 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Hornets70c5,998$4,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.3428649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Hornets26c5,975$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,421.1946342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans43c5,876$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Hornets71c5,623$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.3962652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Pelicans64c5,283$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.579857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Hornets37c5,214$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.2811049.1%54 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x743e…16aebacked Pelicans62c5,154$3,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hornets70c5,013$3,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.7148944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Pelicans31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5680…eee8backed Pelicans30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50060%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Hornets71c5,000$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43020847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pelicans30c5,000$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.