TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Hornets, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,011 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Pelicans53c60,000$31,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,199.9540446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Pelicans53c50,938$26,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,940.6610949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets47c40,622$19,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,111.312,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets47c30,000$14,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,157.321,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets47c28,925$13,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,545.461,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Hornets47c18,929$8,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,896.4371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans55c13,727$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,226.6476746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Hornets46c13,005$5,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,982.1229055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Hornets48c12,495$5,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,978.8848347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Hornets47c11,429$5,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,371.6350241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets46c10,555$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,838.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Pelicans52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pelicans53c9,000$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,23066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Pelicans52c7,482$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.1615545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Pelicans55c6,717$3,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,024.2919747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2301…1605backed Pelicans53c5,774$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac5…2f83backed Hornets46c3,912$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d34…6bfebacked Hornets46c3,877$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17d6…125bbacked Hornets45c3,854$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1865…7e23backed Hornets46c3,811$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Hornets42c3,800$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60626546%122 W · 143 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…96b7backed Hornets46c3,633$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee68…ff39backed Pelicans55c3,522$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5e7…f281backed Pelicans54c3,422$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…458ebacked Pelicans54c3,355$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f5d…fab3backed Pelicans54c3,313$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9335…9de5backed Hornets45c3,241$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9283…518bbacked Pelicans54c3,212$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ca…c3a0backed Pelicans55c3,181$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f3…261ebacked Hornets45c3,122$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89a2…d8e3backed Hornets46c3,036$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Hornets46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4568…6e22backed Pelicans54c2,777$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans53c2,765$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.783,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…9be5backed Pelicans55c2,744$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f3f…9d25backed Pelicans55c2,741$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0967…1e25backed Pelicans54c2,727$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Hornets47c2,504$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.8464139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans53c2,454$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4912…9b0abacked Hornets47c2,250$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hornets35c2,226$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.683,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69e…105bbacked Pelicans54c2,050$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x273d…6ce4backed Hornets46c2,043$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x620d…6205backed Hornets46c2,041$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6298…8a31backed Pelicans54c2,040$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae01…cca6backed Hornets46c2,031$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d57…f5cfbacked Pelicans54c2,030$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bad…6e18backed Hornets46c2,021$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac2…8a87backed Pelicans54c2,020$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a82…b1a5backed Hornets46c2,012$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6924…0f03backed Hornets46c2,002$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf9…91ffbacked Pelicans54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa9…25bebacked Hornets45c1,992$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans53c1,991$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.931,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans54c1,900$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87490957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b5…a8ccbacked Hornets47c1,774$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b10…5a48backed Hornets47c1,750$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets47c1,746$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.543,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets46c1,667$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.384,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae5f…4cb3backed Pelicans54c1,610$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Hornets46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9540947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets46c1,459$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.296,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans51c1,410$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.9577348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Pelicans54c1,317$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.6719359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0735…4d2cbacked Hornets4c1,286$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8670%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Pelicans22c1,096$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.2320837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Hornets47c1,061$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.8854747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Pelicans53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hornets59c975$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.632,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930b…d91cbacked Hornets21c899.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans53c861.27$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.814,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Pelicans54c763.51$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.2141553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Hornets26c732.45$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6821243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Pelicans54c643$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.783265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Hornets48c623$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.0413563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hornets47c585.11$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Pelicans53c567$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4940648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Pelicans54c556.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Pelicans55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4521152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ed…585dbacked Hornets46c537$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9781…bc2abacked Pelicans55c506.64$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Hornets45c504.69$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9539756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Hornets47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016030.6%49 W · 111 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Pelicans59c424.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…fa9fbacked Hornets49c382$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.181428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5440…369ebacked Pelicans52c382$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.361250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pelicans54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets50c325.97$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.443,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pelicans54c317.7$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1889050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86dd…fa7dbacked Hornets46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f1b…dbfdbacked Pelicans54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Hornets47c296.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1727943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked Pelicans52c288.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4513250%66 W · 66 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets46c260.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d9e…e3d9backed Hornets47c255$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x936a…1d85backed Pelicans53c255$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hornets45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Pelicans54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.424442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Pelicans53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9459144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Pelicans74c199.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5311650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.