TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,863 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over0c7,431$35 inLost-$34.851,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under57c3,041$1,734 inWon+$1,307.838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over43c2,345$1,012 inLost-$1,012.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over36c1,187$429 inLost-$429.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under62c797.95$494 inWon+$303.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Under64c775.86$500 inWon+$275.8627158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over22c573.85$128 inLost-$127.748,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over36c530.7$189 inLost-$188.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over38c526.32$200 inLost-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over45c500$225 inLost-$22519647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…1bd8backed Under62c482.74$300 inWon+$182.744564.4%29 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over38c396.74$150 inLost-$150.373,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c364.7$164 inLost-$164.122,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under62c359.21$223 inWon+$136.6421243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over38c223.86$85 inLost-$85.071,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over43c200$86 inLost-$863,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under55c199.99$110 inWon+$89.9941052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under62c193.54$120 inWon+$73.552,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over40c156$62 inLost-$62.3943244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under60c133.33$80 inWon+$53.3372250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over43c130.24$56 inLost-$5695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e97…b97fbacked Under62c116.94$72 inWon+$44.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over43c106.19$46 inLost-$45.6662541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over40c100$40 inLost-$402,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under55c100$55 inWon+$4542551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under63c100$63 inWon+$3716052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under55c100$55 inWon+$4541354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb58c…5fc5backed Over38c92.23$35 inLost-$34.751030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Over39c78$30 inLost-$30.427753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Over39c77$30 inLost-$30.038552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Under63c63.98$40 inWon+$23.9810659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under56c59.99$34 inWon+$26.41,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa952…14a5backed Under54c50$27 inWon+$232231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under64c36.23$23 inWon+$12.91,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c32.12$14 inLost-$14.452,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ad5…7492backed Under69c28.99$20 inWon+$8.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked Under61c27$16 inWon+$10.532458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Under61c26$16 inWon+$10.144351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked Under61c24$15 inWon+$9.363961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under64c17.19$11 inWon+$6.1949358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Under64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.